METC — Ramaco Resources Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates METC Bullish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 16, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction16
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ramaco Resources Inc

Ramaco Resources, Inc. engages in the development, operation, and sale of metallurgical coal. The company's development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project that covers an area of approximately 20,200 acres located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property covering an area of approximately 62,500 acres situated on the border of West Virginia and Virginia; the Knox Creek property, which covers an area of approximately 88,850 acres is loc… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.92
Market Cap$764M
Float41.7M
Shares Outstanding51.9M
P/E (Forward)5.49
Price/Sales (TTM)1.37
vs. Analyst Target+44.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-11.98%
Operating Margin (TTM)-12.60%
Revenue (TTM)$515M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-89.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.63 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $169M -$4.9M $1.9M $14.3M
2021 $283M $39.8M $61.2M $73.8M
2022 $566M $116M $190M $195M
2023 $694M $82.3M $144M $169M
2024 $666M $11.2M $65.9M $88.1M
2025 $537M -$51.4M $13.4M $15.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $121M -$13.3M
Dec 2025 $128M -$14.7M
Mar 2026 $122M -$18.3M
Jun 2026 $145M -$15.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.5%
Institutional Ownership90.7%
Short Float31.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.44%
Number of Funds Holding215

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$15.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$29.70 resistance 1.37x 8 months ago
$8.30 support 1.57x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.88% -1.57% 35.90% 12.71% -14.63%
1 Day -0.05% 0.00% 48.72% 38.33% -20.67%
1 Week 1.88% 0.07% 51.28% 57.62% -31.50%
2 Weeks 3.56% 1.65% 56.41% 53.33% -31.51%
1 Month -1.57% -4.22% 47.37% 44.89% -53.81%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%66.7%9
Feb1.3%22.2%9
Mar-3.8%40.0%10
Apr-1.0%30.0%10
May0.2%40.0%10
Jun-2.0%20.0%10
Jul4.5%60.0%10
Aug10.8%55.6%9
Sep7.9%44.4%9
Oct2.5%33.3%9
Nov-6.2%44.4%9
Dec2.7%55.6%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 49.4% 451
Tuesday 0.30% 49.6% 494
Wednesday 0.17% 50.7% 491
Thursday -0.11% 47.8% 483
Friday 0.13% 45.7% 481

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.5%

Founder-led management: Randall W Atkins (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-5,872,761
% of Float-14.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LEIDEL PETER A -$28.7M 1 1 sell
Lawrence Bryan H. -$28.4M 4 4 sell
DISCOVERY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC / CT -$7.7M 2 2 sell
Yorktown XI Associates LLC -$113,045.023 1 1 sell
Yorktown Energy Partners XI, L.P. -$113,045.023 1 1 sell
Yorktown IX Associates LLC -$111,532.715 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-24 – 2026-03-31 11 5 -$17.9M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-10 DISCOVERY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC / CT -$4.8M Transaction at $9.57, now +35.0%
2026-06-10 LEIDEL PETER A -$28.7M Transaction at $14.01, now -7.7%
2026-03-19 Lawrence Bryan H. -$11.4M Transaction at $14.20, now -9.0%
2026-03-26 Lawrence Bryan H. -$5.8M Transaction at $13.71, now -5.8%
2026-03-24 Lawrence Bryan H. -$8.2M Transaction at $13.67, now -5.5%
2026-03-31 Lawrence Bryan H. -$3.1M Transaction at $14.71, now -12.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ramaco Resources Inc (METC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for METC on Trend Edge →