Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates HCC Bullish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 42, actionability 57. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
49
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
42
Actionability
57 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 90.05 vs px 89.57)
Fresh Trend Turn — 10wk turn 7w · aligned 6w
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 75.27 vs px 89.57)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 61.26 vs px 89.57)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +0.80 · 3.80→3.90
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.23 · age 62w×0.62 · 7.80%
About Warrior Met Coal Inc
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Coking Coal
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: April 13, 2017
Headquarters: 16243 Highway 216, Brookwood, AL, United States, 35444
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$96.60
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$90.14
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$75.32
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$61.28
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$90.00
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$74.87
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$66.55
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$50.00
support
1.02x
13 months ago
$46.00
support
1.47x
14 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (38 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.14%
0.09%
50.00%
11.67%
-9.17%
1 Day
-1.58%
-2.67%
44.74%
23.07%
-22.55%
1 Week
-1.36%
-3.54%
34.21%
21.68%
-24.03%
2 Weeks
-1.63%
-3.45%
39.47%
25.77%
-22.79%
1 Month
1.05%
1.63%
51.35%
37.62%
-43.66%
Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (25 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
4.7%
77.8%
9
Feb
-1.6%
44.4%
9
Mar
-2.9%
44.4%
9
Apr
-1.0%
44.4%
9
May
1.6%
50.0%
10
Jun
-0.6%
60.0%
10
Jul
6.6%
70.0%
10
Aug
5.5%
50.0%
10
Sep
1.3%
60.0%
10
Oct
4.0%
55.6%
9
Nov
2.4%
55.6%
9
Dec
5.8%
77.8%
9
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.46%
56.2%
447
Tuesday
0.33%
54.9%
490
Wednesday
0.10%
51.7%
487
Thursday
-0.23%
46.8%
479
Friday
-0.01%
50.8%
478
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 99.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 1.8%
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
9
Net Value
-$25.9M
Net Shares Change
-259,081
% of Float
-0.5%
C-Suite Filings
8
Clusters Detected
1
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
SCHELLER WALTER J
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
-$22.2M
4
N/A
Gant Kelli K.
Chief Adminstrative Officer and Corporate Secretary
-$3.2M
2
N/A
Chopin Brian M
CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER
-$506,420.399
2
2 sell
Williams Stephen D.
-$500,304
1
1 sell
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2026-08-21 – 2026-08-26
4
3
-$11.6M
3 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-08-21
Chopin Brian M
CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER
-$336,192.64
Transaction at $104.02, now -10.5%
2026-08-21
Williams Stephen D.
-$500,304
Transaction at $104.23, now -10.7%
2026-08-26
SCHELLER WALTER J
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
-$5.5M
Transaction at $110.00, now -15.4%
2026-08-21
SCHELLER WALTER J
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
-$5.3M
Transaction at $105.00, now -11.4%
2025-11-14
Chopin Brian M
CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER
-$170,227.759
Transaction at $81.72, now +13.9%
2026-06-04
Gant Kelli K.
Chief Adminstrative Officer and Corporate Secretary
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Warrior Met Coal Inc
(HCC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.