AMR — Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AMR Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 33, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., a mining company, produces, processes, and sells met and thermal coal in Virginia and West Virginia. The company provides metallurgical coal products. It operates nineteen active mines and eight active coal preparation and load-out facilities. The company was formerly known as Contura Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$181.57
Market Cap$2.21B
Float10.7M
Shares Outstanding12.7M
P/E (Forward)2.66
Price/Sales (TTM)1.07
vs. Analyst Target+2.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.90%
Revenue (TTM)$2.07B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-95.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$186.67 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.42B -$447M -$13.9M -$7.6M
2021 $2.26B $289M $458M $485M
2022 $4.10B $1.45B $1.69B $1.70B
2023 $3.47B $722M $970M $1.02B
2024 $2.96B $188M $332M $389M
2025 $2.13B -$61.7M $2.7M $118M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $527M -$5.5M
Dec 2025 $520M -$17.3M
Mar 2026 $525M -$11.0M
Jun 2026 $493M -$12.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership30.0%
Institutional Ownership90.3%
Short Float12.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.90%
Number of Funds Holding255

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$189.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$187.61Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$165.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$204.61Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$185.07Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$164.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$213.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$235.00 resistance 1.14x 0 months ago
$136.00 support 1.34x 1 months ago
$115.00 support 1.44x 13 months ago
$297.00 resistance 1.03x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.48% 0.59% 69.57% 5.06% -3.43%
1 Day -0.08% 0.20% 56.52% 8.37% -13.26%
1 Week -2.54% -3.24% 21.74% 19.35% -17.93%
2 Weeks -2.63% -3.56% 43.48% 19.68% -27.58%
1 Month 4.44% 3.38% 59.09% 68.47% -25.11%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.36% 54.2% 264
Tuesday 0.40% 54.4% 294
Wednesday 0.29% 49.7% 292
Thursday 0.09% 49.1% 285
Friday 0.13% 51.2% 285

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 30.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$3.1M
Net Shares Change247,497
% of Float2.3%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Courtis Kenneth S. +$15.4M 7 7 buy
Gorzynski Michael +$9.4M 2 2 buy
Whitehead Jason E. President & COO -$849,365.005 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-10 – 2025-12-17 5 3 +$20.4M 1 C-suite
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-13 5 3 +$8.4M 2 C-suite
2026-06-02 – 2026-06-16 3 3 +$1.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-08 Courtis Kenneth S. +$2.3M Transaction at $225.83, now -19.6%
2026-08-31 Courtis Kenneth S. +$1.1M Transaction at $228.99, now -20.7%
2026-08-25 Gorzynski Michael +$2.1M Transaction at $208.92, now -13.1%
2026-08-25 Courtis Kenneth S. +$1.1M Transaction at $216.53, now -16.1%
2026-08-24 Courtis Kenneth S. +$3.2M Transaction at $210.51, now -13.7%
2026-08-20 Courtis Kenneth S. +$2.9M Transaction at $193.50, now -6.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (AMR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AMR on Trend Edge →