AMR — Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AMR Bearish with a Setup Score of 22, net conviction 20, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score22
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction20
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., a mining company, produces, processes, and sells met and thermal coal in Virginia and West Virginia. The company provides metallurgical coal products. It operates nineteen active mines and eight active coal preparation and load-out facilities. The company was formerly known as Contura Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$146.69
Market Cap$1.91B
Float10.2M
Shares Outstanding12.7M
P/E (Forward)2.66
Price/Sales (TTM)0.90
vs. Analyst Target+22.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.12%
Revenue (TTM)$2.12B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-95.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$179.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.42B -$447M -$13.9M -$7.6M
2021 $2.26B $289M $458M $485M
2022 $4.10B $1.45B $1.69B $1.70B
2023 $3.47B $722M $970M $1.02B
2024 $2.96B $188M $332M $389M
2025 $2.13B -$61.7M $2.7M $118M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $550M -$5.0M
Sep 2025 $527M -$5.5M
Dec 2025 $520M -$17.3M
Mar 2026 $525M -$11.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership24.7%
Institutional Ownership91.3%
Short Float16.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.96%
Number of Funds Holding243

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$179.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$186.63Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$163.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$203.02Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$180.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$161.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$210.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$115.00 support 1.44x 10 months ago
$297.00 resistance 1.03x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.66% 72.73% 5.06% -3.43%
1 Day -0.06% 0.26% 59.09% 8.37% -13.26%
1 Week -2.50% -3.13% 22.73% 19.35% -17.93%
2 Weeks -3.01% -4.86% 40.91% 19.68% -27.58%
1 Month 3.98% 3.25% 57.14% 68.47% -25.11%

Next earnings: August 14, 2026 (33 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.35% 53.2% 252
Tuesday 0.42% 55.2% 281
Wednesday 0.24% 49.1% 279
Thursday 0.15% 50.0% 272
Friday 0.13% 51.8% 272

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 24.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$5.4M
Net Shares Change281,358
% of Float2.7%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Courtis Kenneth S. +$31.4M 7 7 buy
Whitehead Jason E. President & COO -$849,365.005 1 1 sell
Munsey Joshua Todd Chief Financial Officer -$462,314.52 1 1 sell
Manno Mark Matthew EVP, GC & Secretary -$98,734.4 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-10 – 2025-12-17 5 3 +$20.4M 1 C-suite
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-13 5 3 +$8.4M 2 C-suite
2026-06-02 – 2026-06-16 3 3 +$1.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-16 Courtis Kenneth S. +$2.0M Transaction at $200.73, now -26.9%
2026-05-15 Courtis Kenneth S. +$2.8M Transaction at $189.22, now -22.5%
2026-06-04 Whitehead Jason E. President & COO -$849,365.005 Transaction at $213.61, now -31.3%
2026-06-02 Manno Mark Matthew EVP, GC & Secretary -$98,734.4 Transaction at $214.64, now -31.7%
2026-03-11 Courtis Kenneth S. +$4.4M Transaction at $176.23, now -16.8%
2026-03-20 Courtis Kenneth S. +$1.5M Transaction at $191.07, now -23.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (AMR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AMR on Trend Edge →