MELI — MercadoLibre Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MercadoLibre Inc.

MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and internationally. The company operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an online commerce platform that can be accessed through mobile app or website; and Mercado Pago, a financial technology solution platform, which offers comprehensive set of financial technology services to users and other users of its e-commerce platform. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1696.17
Market Cap$85.06B
Float47.0M
Shares Outstanding50.7M
P/E (Forward)32.57
P/E (TTM)44.25
Price/Sales (TTM)2.67
vs. Analyst Target+31.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.04%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.91%
Revenue (TTM)$31.80B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-15.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2230.28 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.97B -$1.0M $1.71B $293M
2021 $7.07B $83.0M $3.00B $674M
2022 $10.78B $482M $5.20B $1.32B
2023 $15.11B $987M $7.59B $2.25B
2024 $20.78B $1.91B $9.58B $3.21B
2025 $28.89B $2.00B $12.86B $3.56B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $6.79B $523M
Sep 2025 $7.41B $421M
Dec 2025 $8.76B $559M
Mar 2026 $8.85B $417M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.3%
Institutional Ownership83.1%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding16.50%
Number of Funds Holding1,356

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1717.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1993.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2079.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1666.62Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2034.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2097.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1798.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2130.00 resistance 1.34x 2 months ago
$2330.00 resistance 1.21x 5 months ago
$1680.00 support 1.03x 20 months ago
$1450.00 support 1.07x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.14% 0.42% 56.58% 18.21% -19.63%
1 Day 1.65% 1.53% 63.16% 20.89% -21.20%
1 Week 1.54% 0.92% 53.95% 44.07% -32.50%
2 Weeks 1.63% 1.48% 55.26% 37.47% -33.13%
1 Month 2.88% 0.90% 52.00% 46.96% -30.85%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.2%63.2%19
Feb3.5%57.9%19
Mar2.5%57.9%19
Apr7.3%63.2%19
May1.2%50.0%18
Jun0.5%55.6%18
Jul5.1%77.8%18
Aug4.6%66.7%18
Sep-1.8%36.8%19
Oct0.6%36.8%19
Nov5.6%52.6%19
Dec4.5%42.1%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 50.6% 887
Tuesday 0.15% 52.0% 972
Wednesday 0.23% 52.5% 970
Thursday 0.08% 54.8% 950
Friday 0.27% 52.0% 947

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.3%

Founder-led management: Marcos Galperin (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$100,078.89
Net Shares Change-479
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dubugras Henrique Vasoncelos -$1.7M 1 1 sell
Aguzin Alejandro Nicolas +$993,556.44 1 1 buy
Tolda Stelleo -$503,778.48 1 1 sell
Melamud Marcelo SVP - Chief Accounting Officer +$100,078.89 1 1 buy
Calemzuk Emiliano -$91,231.65 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-11 – 2025-12-15 3 3 -$2.3M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-26 Aguzin Alejandro Nicolas +$993,556.44 Transaction at $1655.93, now +2.4%
2026-03-02 Melamud Marcelo SVP - Chief Accounting Officer +$100,078.89 Transaction at $1755.77, now -3.4%
2025-12-15 Dubugras Henrique Vasoncelos -$1.7M Transaction at $2028.14, now -16.4%
2025-12-12 Calemzuk Emiliano -$91,231.65 Transaction at $2027.37, now -16.3%
2025-12-11 Tolda Stelleo -$503,778.48 Transaction at $2047.88, now -17.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MELI on Trend Edge →