MEDP — Medpace Holdings Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MEDP Bullish with a Setup Score of 17, net conviction 50, actionability 6. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score17
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability6 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Medpace Holdings Inc

Medpace Holdings, Inc. provides clinical research-based drug and medical device development services in North America, Europe, Asia, South America, Africa, and Australia. The company offers a suite of services supporting the clinical development process from Phase I to Phase IV in various therapeutic areas. It provides clinical development services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries; and development plan design, c… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$530.19
Market Cap$15.29B
Float23.0M
Shares Outstanding28.6M
P/E (Forward)31.85
P/E (TTM)33.68
Price/Sales (TTM)5.71
vs. Analyst Target-14.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin17.19%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.03%
Revenue (TTM)$2.68B
Earnings Growth (YoY)16.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$451.42 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $926M $145M $279M $187M
2021 $1.14B $182M $328M $223M
2022 $1.46B $245M $432M $308M
2023 $1.89B $283M $525M $362M
2024 $2.11B $404M $656M $505M
2025 $2.53B $451M $761M $571M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $603M $90.3M
Sep 2025 $660M $111M
Dec 2025 $708M $135M
Mar 2026 $707M $124M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership19.4%
Institutional Ownership88.2%
Short Float9.1%
% of All Funds Holding8.18%
Number of Funds Holding672

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$483.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$514.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$439.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$348.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$517.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$441.32Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$376.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$576.00 resistance 1.25x 4 months ago
$315.00 support 1.78x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (40 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.92% 0.32% 52.50% 44.26% -26.22%
1 Day 0.38% -0.51% 50.00% 54.67% -30.63%
1 Week 1.09% -1.83% 45.00% 45.01% -24.45%
2 Weeks 1.57% -2.85% 45.00% 41.25% -24.88%
1 Month 3.55% 1.77% 56.41% 46.77% -25.81%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (8 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%60.0%10
Feb-3.5%30.0%10
Mar0.7%70.0%10
Apr-0.8%60.0%10
May2.5%50.0%10
Jun8.5%100.0%10
Jul14.8%66.7%9
Aug3.3%66.7%9
Sep-0.4%60.0%10
Oct5.8%50.0%10
Nov5.8%70.0%10
Dec2.5%70.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.39% 58.3% 465
Tuesday 0.15% 52.4% 513
Wednesday 0.14% 53.1% 510
Thursday 0.04% 51.7% 501
Friday 0.13% 54.7% 501

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 19.4%

Founder-led management: August J. Troendle (Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board of Directors)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings28
Net Value-$306M
Net Shares Change-445,253
% of Float-1.9%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BURWIG SUSAN E Exec. VP, Operations -$32.5M 5 5 sell
Troendle August J. CEO -$17.1M 1 1 sell
EWALD STEPHEN P General Counsel & Corp. Secy. -$12.5M 3 3 sell
GEIGER JESSE J President -$10.0M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-28 – 2025-07-29 5 5 -$45.8M 5 C-suite
2025-10-29 – 2025-11-12 6 4 -$44.1M 5 C-suite
2025-11-14 – 2025-11-26 8 4 -$133M 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-01 EWALD STEPHEN P General Counsel & Corp. Secy. -$5.1M Transaction at $294.44, now +80.1%
2026-03-19 GEIGER JESSE J President -$10.0M Transaction at $297.09, now +78.5%
2025-11-26 BURWIG SUSAN E Exec. VP, Operations -$12.2M Transaction at $609.15, now -13.0%
2025-11-12 BURWIG SUSAN E Exec. VP, Operations -$10.9M Transaction at $605.00, now -12.4%
2025-10-29 EWALD STEPHEN P General Counsel & Corp. Secy. -$6.1M Transaction at $382.79, now +38.5%
2025-09-05 BURWIG SUSAN E Exec. VP, Operations -$4.8M Transaction at $480.00, now +10.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MEDP on Trend Edge →