MEC — Mayville Engineering Co Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MEC Bullish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 39, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability34 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mayville Engineering Co Inc

Mayville Engineering Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, design, prototyping and tooling, fabrication, aluminum extrusion, coating, and assembling of aftermarket components in the United States. It supplies engineered components to original equipment manufacturers. The company serves heavy and medium duty commercial vehicles, construction and access equipment, powersports, data center and critical power, agri… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.50
Market Cap$578M
Float18.4M
Shares Outstanding25.5M
P/E (Forward)22.08
Price/Sales (TTM)0.99
vs. Analyst Target+79.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.27%
Revenue (TTM)$586M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-99.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$36.80 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $358M -$7.1M $31.5M $25.6M
2021 $455M -$7.5M $51.4M $24.4M
2022 $539M $18.7M $61.1M $55.1M
2023 $588M $7.8M $69.7M $55.1M
2024 $582M $26.0M $71.1M $82.1M
2025 $546M -$8.1M $54.0M $37.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $144M -$2.7M
Dec 2025 $134M -$4.4M
Mar 2026 $145M -$8.2M
Jun 2026 $163M -$2.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership23.4%
Institutional Ownership84.3%
Short Float11.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.76%
Number of Funds Holding155

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.04Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$22.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.89Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.00 resistance 1.87x 0 months ago
$25.60 resistance 1.66x 0 months ago
$13.70 support 1.87x 9 months ago
$12.90 support 1.05x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.48% 0.69% 56.67% 9.71% -27.37%
1 Day -2.29% -1.44% 40.00% 11.71% -33.08%
1 Week 0.18% -1.64% 46.67% 37.71% -19.44%
2 Weeks 1.37% 0.62% 53.33% 52.00% -25.17%
1 Month 5.60% -0.85% 48.28% 89.00% -21.60%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.5%57.1%7
Feb-2.1%42.9%7
Mar-5.5%28.6%7
Apr-2.7%28.6%7
May15.0%85.7%7
Jun6.8%75.0%8
Jul-5.4%25.0%8
Aug-2.8%42.9%7
Sep3.4%42.9%7
Oct-0.7%42.9%7
Nov13.1%57.1%7
Dec5.5%71.4%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.53% 50.3% 344
Tuesday 0.33% 49.9% 379
Wednesday -0.75% 40.0% 375
Thursday 0.21% 52.9% 367
Friday 0.15% 51.2% 367

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 23.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$3.0M
Net Shares Change-127,131
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Reddy Jagadeesh A President & CEO -$1.7M 4 N/A
Raber Ryan F EVP - Strategy, Sales & Mktg -$770,188 2 2 sell
Leuba Sean P SVP, GC & Secretary -$503,195.58 2 3 sell
Fisher Steven L -$191,100 1 1 sell
Nichols Craig D SVP, Operations & Supply Chain -$92,960 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-03 3 3 -$1.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 Leuba Sean P SVP, GC & Secretary -$327,031.2 Transaction at $25.44, now -19.4%
2026-03-09 Leuba Sean P GC & Secretary -$176,164.38 Transaction at $19.44, now +5.5%
2026-05-27 Raber Ryan F EVP - Strategy, Sales & Mktg -$520,000 Transaction at $26.00, now -21.2%
2026-05-26 Nichols Craig D SVP, Operations & Supply Chain -$92,960 Transaction at $23.24, now -11.8%
2025-11-26 Raber Ryan F EVP - Strategy, Sales & Mktg -$250,188 Transaction at $16.68, now +22.9%
2026-06-12 Reddy Jagadeesh A President & CEO -$549,823.611 Transaction at $35.05, now -41.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mayville Engineering Co Inc (MEC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MEC on Trend Edge →