CRS — Carpenter Technology Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CRS Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 54, actionability 36. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction54
Actionability36 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Carpenter Technology Corporation

Carpenter Technology Corporation manufactures, fabricates, and distributes specialty metals in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. The company offers specialty alloys, including titanium alloys, powder metals, stainless steels, alloy steels, and tool steels, as well as metal powders and parts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$385.81
Market Cap$19.18B
Float48.4M
Shares Outstanding49.6M
P/E (Forward)23.36
P/E (TTM)36.80
Price/Sales (TTM)6.14
vs. Analyst Target+58.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.08%
Revenue (TTM)$3.12B
Earnings Growth (YoY)46.40%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$612.13 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.48B -$230M $1.0M -$141M
2022 $1.84B -$49.1M $150M $113M
2023 $2.55B $56.4M $337M $268M
2024 $2.76B $187M $584M $412M
2025 $2.88B $376M $769M $670M
2026 $3.12B $530M $956M $841M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $734M $123M
Dec 2025 $728M $105M
Mar 2026 $812M $140M
Jun 2026 $851M $162M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.5%
Institutional Ownership95.5%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding9.91%
Number of Funds Holding872

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$458.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$446.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$353.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$199.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$439.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$348.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$230.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$244.00 support 1.16x 11 months ago
$238.00 support 1.43x 15 months ago
$201.00 support 1.13x 16 months ago
$173.00 support 1.03x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.00% 46.77% 7.86% -6.45%
1 Day -0.36% -0.47% 43.55% 10.47% -6.69%
1 Week 1.27% 1.06% 53.23% 33.29% -13.71%
2 Weeks 1.42% 1.46% 56.45% 28.96% -19.39%
1 Month 2.65% 1.40% 53.23% 40.31% -36.65%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (11 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%47.1%51
Feb2.5%66.7%51
Mar0.4%52.9%51
Apr4.6%58.8%51
May2.3%54.9%51
Jun0.4%51.0%51
Jul1.5%47.1%51
Aug0.2%49.0%51
Sep-0.6%60.8%51
Oct-2.0%34.0%50
Nov6.1%74.0%50
Dec1.9%60.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 46.7% 2402
Tuesday 0.06% 46.2% 2605
Wednesday 0.05% 46.9% 2606
Thursday 0.04% 47.5% 2556
Friday 0.11% 48.2% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$85.3M
Net Shares Change-151,571
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Thene Tony R Chairman, President and CEO -$52.9M 1 2 sell
DEE JAMES D SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec -$6.2M 1 1 sell
AKINS MARSHALL D VP and Chief Comm Officer -$5.2M 1 1 sell
KAROL STEVEN E -$4.9M 3 4 sell
SOCCI ELIZABETH A VP, Contr & Ch Acctg Officer -$1.3M 1 1 sell
HART ANASTASIOS JOHN -$388,246.9 2 2 sell
Younessi Ramin -$145,316.574 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-27 Thene Tony R Chairman, President and CEO -$52.9M Transaction at $483.84, now -20.3%
2026-09-09 KAROL STEVEN E -$1.4M Transaction at $256.94, now +50.2%
2026-08-25 Younessi Ramin -$145,316.574 Transaction at $327.27, now +17.9%
2026-05-06 AKINS MARSHALL D VP and Chief Comm Officer -$5.2M Transaction at $441.36, now -12.6%
2026-02-23 KAROL STEVEN E -$2.5M Transaction at $380.56, now +1.4%
2026-02-25 DEE JAMES D SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec -$6.2M Transaction at $391.78, now -1.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CRS on Trend Edge →