CRS — Carpenter Technology Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CRS Bullish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 53, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction53
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Carpenter Technology Corporation

Carpenter Technology Corporation manufactures, fabricates, and distributes specialty metals in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. The company offers specialty alloys, including titanium alloys, powder metals, stainless steels, alloy steels, and tool steels, as well as metal powders and parts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$483.70
Market Cap$24.24B
Float48.3M
Shares Outstanding49.6M
P/E (Forward)23.36
P/E (TTM)48.52
Price/Sales (TTM)7.76
vs. Analyst Target+29.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.08%
Revenue (TTM)$3.12B
Earnings Growth (YoY)46.40%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$625.88 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.48B -$230M $1.0M -$141M
2022 $1.84B -$49.1M $150M $113M
2023 $2.55B $56.4M $337M $268M
2024 $2.76B $187M $584M $412M
2025 $2.88B $376M $769M $670M
2026 $3.12B $530M $956M $841M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $734M $123M
Dec 2025 $728M $105M
Mar 2026 $812M $140M
Jun 2026 $851M $162M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.5%
Institutional Ownership95.5%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding9.91%
Number of Funds Holding872

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$554.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$433.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$336.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$188.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$426.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$330.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$214.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$462.00 support 1.13x 1 months ago
$244.00 support 1.16x 9 months ago
$238.00 support 1.43x 13 months ago
$201.00 support 1.13x 14 months ago
$173.00 support 1.03x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.00% 46.77% 7.86% -6.45%
1 Day -0.36% -0.47% 43.55% 10.47% -6.69%
1 Week 1.27% 1.06% 53.23% 33.29% -13.71%
2 Weeks 1.42% 1.46% 56.45% 28.96% -19.39%
1 Month 2.72% 1.46% 53.66% 40.31% -36.65%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%47.1%51
Feb2.5%66.7%51
Mar0.4%52.9%51
Apr4.6%58.8%51
May2.3%54.9%51
Jun0.4%51.0%51
Jul1.5%47.1%51
Aug0.3%50.0%50
Sep-0.2%62.0%50
Oct-2.0%34.0%50
Nov6.1%74.0%50
Dec1.9%60.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 46.7% 2397
Tuesday 0.06% 46.2% 2599
Wednesday 0.05% 47.0% 2600
Thursday 0.04% 47.5% 2550
Friday 0.11% 48.2% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$32.5M
Net Shares Change-42,288
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Malloy Brian J President and COO -$19.8M 1 1 sell
DEE JAMES D SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec -$6.2M 1 1 sell
AKINS MARSHALL D VP and Chief Comm Officer -$5.2M 1 1 sell
KAROL STEVEN E -$3.4M 2 3 sell
SOCCI ELIZABETH A VP, Contr & Ch Acctg Officer -$1.3M 1 1 sell
Younessi Ramin -$544,663.574 2 2 sell
HART ANASTASIOS JOHN -$388,246.9 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-25 Younessi Ramin -$145,316.574 Transaction at $327.27, now +47.8%
2026-06-03 KAROL STEVEN E -$975,478.8 Transaction at $487.74, now -0.8%
2026-06-01 HART ANASTASIOS JOHN -$104,190.325 Transaction at $253.50, now +90.8%
2026-05-06 AKINS MARSHALL D VP and Chief Comm Officer -$5.2M Transaction at $441.36, now +9.6%
2026-02-23 KAROL STEVEN E -$2.5M Transaction at $380.56, now +27.1%
2026-02-25 DEE JAMES D SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec -$6.2M Transaction at $391.78, now +23.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CRS on Trend Edge →