MLI — Mueller Industries Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MLI Bullish with a Setup Score of 81, net conviction 46, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score81
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction46
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mueller Industries Inc

Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, and aluminum products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Asia and the Middle East, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. The Piping Systems segment offers copper tubes, fittings, line sets, and pipe nipples; resells steel pipe, brass and plastic plumbing valves, malleable iron fittings, faucets, and plumbing spec… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$63.45
Market Cap$13.70B
Float216.2M
Shares Outstanding221.2M
P/E (Forward)18.18
P/E (TTM)16.35
Price/Sales (TTM)2.94
vs. Analyst Target+26.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.81%
Revenue (TTM)$4.66B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1.80%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$80.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.40B $139M $432M $273M
2021 $3.77B $469M $830M $694M
2022 $3.98B $658M $1.12B $921M
2023 $3.42B $603M $987M $886M
2024 $3.77B $605M $1.04B $874M
2025 $4.18B $765M $1.14B $1.09B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.08B $208M
Dec 2025 $962M $154M
Mar 2026 $1.19B $239M
Jun 2026 $1.43B $250M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.1%
Institutional Ownership95.1%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding8.36%
Number of Funds Holding735

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$62.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$61.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$52.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$36.45Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$61.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$52.26Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$39.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$62.00 support 1.20x 0 months ago
$28.60 support 1.07x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.00% 47.97% 4.22% -2.60%
1 Day 0.13% 0.07% 50.41% 15.69% -13.77%
1 Week 0.46% 0.85% 56.91% 20.30% -31.31%
2 Weeks 0.74% 0.49% 52.03% 33.08% -28.20%
1 Month 0.89% 0.81% 52.46% 42.48% -23.21%

Next earnings: October 20, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.0%37.1%35
Feb1.6%60.0%35
Mar3.0%61.1%36
Apr4.9%63.9%36
May0.3%44.4%36
Jun1.6%50.0%36
Jul2.5%72.2%36
Aug0.7%60.0%35
Sep-1.8%37.1%35
Oct1.1%57.1%35
Nov3.2%62.9%35
Dec3.2%65.7%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 48.6% 1683
Tuesday 0.20% 50.9% 1836
Wednesday 0.05% 48.7% 1832
Thursday 0.04% 50.2% 1798
Friday 0.09% 49.7% 1787

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$86.0M
Net Shares Change-961,862
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Christopher Gregory L. Chairman of the Board & CEO -$73.9M 3 5 sell
Martin Jeffrey Andrew EVP, CFO & Treasurer -$12.1M 2 1 sell
GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY -$987,001.501 2 2 sell
HANSEN JOHN B -$456,060.124 3 4 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-05 – 2026-08-17 3 3 -$29.4M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Christopher Gregory L. Chairman of the Board & CEO -$23.4M Transaction at $68.85, now -7.8%
2026-08-05 HANSEN JOHN B -$233,640.124 Transaction at $67.93, now -6.6%
2026-08-17 Martin Jeffrey Andrew EVP, CFO & Treasurer -$5.8M Transaction at $67.03, now -5.3%
2025-10-27 Christopher Gregory L. Chairman of the Board & CEO -$36.4M Transaction at $103.90, now -38.9%
2026-04-29 Christopher Gregory L. Chairman of the Board & CEO -$14.2M Transaction at $137.29, now -53.8%
2026-02-13 GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY -$527,037.1 Transaction at $118.97, now -46.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MLI on Trend Edge →