Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company also owns separate parcels of land. In addition, it owns and operates The Toucan Charlie's Buffet & Grille, which offers a variety of food selections; The Atlantis Steakhouse, a fi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Resorts & Casinos
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: August 6, 1993
Headquarters: 3800 South Virginia Street, Reno, NV, United States, 89502
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — John Farahi (Co-Chairman, CEO & Secretary)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$120.29
Market Cap
$2.06B
Float
11.9M
Shares Outstanding
17.7M
P/E (Forward)
19.19
P/E (TTM)
19.71
Price/Sales (TTM)
3.71
vs. Analyst Target
-5.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
19.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)
25.75%
Revenue (TTM)
$556M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.80%
Dividend Rate
1.2%
Analyst Target Price
$113.50 (5 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$184M
$23.7M
$99.7M
$32.6M
2021
$395M
$68.5M
$218M
$128M
2022
$478M
$87.5M
$260M
$155M
2023
$501M
$82.4M
$269M
$157M
2024
$522M
$72.8M
$281M
$144M
2025
$545M
$101M
$246M
$186M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$137M
$27.0M
Sep 2025
$143M
$31.6M
Dec 2025
$140M
$22.9M
Mar 2026
$137M
$27.6M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
32.8%
Institutional Ownership
65.5%
Short Float
2.1%
% of All Funds Holding
2.68%
Number of Funds Holding
220
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$109.53
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$100.09
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$93.01
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$79.44
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$101.47
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$93.11
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$81.41
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$96.00
support
1.47x
0 months ago
$87.00
support
1.68x
9 months ago
$68.00
support
1.06x
21 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.55%
0.11%
51.22%
22.96%
-15.70%
1 Day
1.21%
0.20%
50.41%
34.25%
-19.99%
1 Week
1.98%
0.00%
49.59%
48.33%
-50.71%
2 Weeks
2.42%
0.32%
51.22%
54.55%
-38.54%
1 Month
3.07%
1.56%
54.92%
49.37%
-33.07%
Next earnings: July 15, 2026 (47 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.5%
51.5%
33
Feb
0.7%
48.5%
33
Mar
-2.5%
42.4%
33
Apr
8.3%
54.5%
33
May
1.1%
53.1%
32
Jun
1.6%
53.1%
32
Jul
2.6%
59.4%
32
Aug
-0.7%
43.8%
32
Sep
2.5%
60.6%
33
Oct
3.5%
60.6%
33
Nov
3.0%
66.7%
33
Dec
0.4%
60.6%
33
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.06%
44.5%
1552
Tuesday
-0.00%
45.6%
1696
Wednesday
0.24%
45.6%
1693
Thursday
0.15%
45.6%
1660
Friday
0.22%
45.6%
1654
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 65.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 32.8%
Founder-led management: John Farahi (Co-Chairman, CEO & Secretary)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
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