MTN — Vail Resorts Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Vail Resorts Inc

Vail Resorts, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and regional ski areas in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activitie… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$131.20
Market Cap$4.52B
Float33.0M
Shares Outstanding35.6M
P/E (Forward)19.84
P/E (TTM)20.20
Price/Sales (TTM)1.55
vs. Analyst Target+18.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)31.97%
Revenue (TTM)$2.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-10.10%
Dividend Rate8.9%
Analyst Target Price$155.42 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.96B $98.8M $776M $473M
2021 $1.91B $128M $830M $529M
2022 $2.53B $348M $1.18B $858M
2023 $2.89B $266M $1.22B $795M
2024 $2.89B $231M $1.23B $783M
2025 $2.96B $280M $1.27B $870M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $1.30B $393M
Jul 2025 $271M -$185M
Oct 2025 $271M -$187M
Jan 2026 $1.08B $210M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.5%
Institutional Ownership128.7%
Short Float23.2%
% of All Funds Holding5.10%
Number of Funds Holding419

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$126.94Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$139.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$150.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$192.02Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$139.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$150.93Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$182.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$138.00 resistance 1.55x 4 months ago
$163.00 resistance 1.22x 7 months ago
$187.00 resistance 1.18x 15 months ago
$190.00 resistance 1.28x 22 months ago
$222.00 resistance 1.37x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.07% 50.88% 6.16% -9.51%
1 Day 0.52% 0.44% 56.14% 16.43% -10.32%
1 Week 0.17% 0.10% 51.75% 20.04% -21.20%
2 Weeks 0.53% -0.23% 49.12% 26.89% -31.31%
1 Month 0.98% 1.05% 51.75% 32.22% -28.18%

Next earnings: June 8, 2026 (10 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.5%34.5%29
Feb-0.2%55.2%29
Mar1.3%60.0%30
Apr2.7%53.3%30
May2.3%58.6%29
Jun-0.0%48.3%29
Jul1.1%65.5%29
Aug1.5%58.6%29
Sep-0.3%44.8%29
Oct3.8%62.1%29
Nov3.6%62.1%29
Dec-1.1%37.9%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 46.8% 1384
Tuesday 0.14% 50.8% 1514
Wednesday 0.02% 47.5% 1514
Thursday 0.02% 50.0% 1483
Friday 0.14% 52.0% 1476

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 128.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+$5.0M
Net Shares Change38,100
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KATZ ROBERT A CEO and Chairperson of the Board +$4.9M 1 1 buy
Korch Angela A EVP and Chief Financial Officer +$89,001.5 3 3 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-16 KATZ ROBERT A CEO and Chairperson of the Board +$4.9M Transaction at $131.81, now -0.5%
2026-03-16 Korch Angela A EVP and Chief Financial Officer +$25,051.5 Transaction at $131.85, now -0.5%
2025-10-07 Korch Angela A EVP and Chief Financial Officer +$32,550 Transaction at $155.00, now -15.4%
2025-06-23 Korch Angela A EVP and Chief Financial Officer +$31,400 Transaction at $157.00, now -16.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTN on Trend Edge →