PENN — Penn National Gaming Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PENN Bullish with a Setup Score of 34, net conviction 27, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score34
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Penn National Gaming Inc

PENN Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated entertainment, sports content, and casino gaming experiences in the United States and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Northeast, South, West, Midwest, and Interactive. It operates a portfolio of casinos, racetracks, and online sports betting; online gaming portfolio, such as theScore Bet, an online sportsbook; theScore Casino, a stand-alone … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.75
Market Cap$2.48B
Float118.3M
Shares Outstanding134.1M
P/E (Forward)13.95
Price/Sales (TTM)0.35
vs. Analyst Target+37.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-12.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.93%
Revenue (TTM)$7.16B
Earnings Growth (YoY)208.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$24.39 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.58B -$670M $1.71B $76.6M
2021 $5.91B $421M $2.76B $1.45B
2022 $6.40B $222M $2.77B $1.50B
2023 $6.36B -$490M $2.36B $400M
2024 $6.58B -$312M $2.16B $563M
2025 $6.96B -$843M $1.91B $32.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.72B -$865M
Dec 2025 $1.81B -$73.0M
Mar 2026 $1.78B -$2.3M
Jun 2026 $1.86B $33.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.6%
Institutional Ownership106.6%
Short Float11.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.30%
Number of Funds Holding378

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.12Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.80 support 1.09x 3 months ago
$12.80 support 1.24x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.27% 0.01% 50.00% 6.32% -6.06%
1 Day 0.43% -0.14% 48.39% 13.01% -22.72%
1 Week 0.95% 0.00% 48.39% 24.88% -26.52%
2 Weeks 1.42% 0.00% 49.19% 67.11% -24.99%
1 Month 2.95% 1.47% 56.91% 72.72% -43.24%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.9%62.5%32
Feb2.7%65.6%32
Mar0.0%43.8%32
Apr8.8%68.8%32
May4.1%53.1%32
Jun0.5%45.5%33
Jul0.2%51.5%33
Aug3.1%56.3%32
Sep2.5%50.0%32
Oct0.4%56.3%32
Nov2.8%59.4%32
Dec-1.5%46.9%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 45.7% 1525
Tuesday 0.11% 47.7% 1666
Wednesday 0.15% 47.4% 1665
Thursday 0.13% 47.3% 1632
Friday 0.21% 47.4% 1626

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$597,812.55
Net Shares Change112,533
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Snowden Jay A CEO and President +$496,938.7 1 1 buy
Black Gupta Vimla -$308,852.27 2 2 sell
Hartnett Johnny -$298,159.5 1 1 sell
HANDLER DAVID A +$285,000 1 1 buy
Kaplowitz Marla -$192,960.9 1 1 sell
DHANDA ANUJ -$192,960.9 1 1 sell
SCACCETTI JANE +$120,720 1 1 buy
Hendrix Felicia EVP and CFO +$100,873.85 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-24 4 4 +$766,921.18 2 C-suite
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-06 3 3 -$578,882.7

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Hartnett Johnny -$298,159.5 Transaction at $20.18, now -12.0%
2026-03-03 SCACCETTI JANE +$120,720 Transaction at $15.09, now +17.6%
2025-11-24 Hendrix Felicia EVP and CFO +$100,873.85 Transaction at $13.79, now +28.7%
2025-11-10 Snowden Jay A CEO and President +$496,938.7 Transaction at $14.32, now +23.9%
2025-11-18 HANDLER DAVID A +$285,000 Transaction at $14.25, now +24.6%
2026-01-06 Kaplowitz Marla -$192,960.9 Transaction at $14.85, now +19.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Penn National Gaming Inc (PENN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PENN on Trend Edge →