MCHP — Microchip Technology Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MCHP Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 29, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Microchip Technology Inc

Microchip Technology Incorporated develops, manufactures, and sells smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in two segments, Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing. The company offers general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit, and 64-bit mixed-signal microcontrollers; 32-bit and 64-bit embedded mixed-signal microprocessors; and specialized mixed-signal microcontrollers for automo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$84.23
Market Cap$47.93B
Float531.1M
Shares Outstanding543.0M
P/E (Forward)27.55
P/E (TTM)401.18
Price/Sales (TTM)10.17
vs. Analyst Target+35.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.07%
Revenue (TTM)$4.71B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-81.60%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$114.00 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $5.44B $349M $3.38B $1.83B
2022 $6.82B $1.29B $4.45B $2.87B
2023 $8.44B $2.24B $5.70B $4.10B
2024 $7.63B $1.91B $5.00B $3.44B
2025 $4.40B -$500,000 $2.47B $1.04B
2026 $4.71B $202M $2.72B $1.40B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.08B -$18.6M
Sep 2025 $1.14B $41.7M
Dec 2025 $1.19B $34.9M
Mar 2026 $1.31B $144M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership100.1%
Short Float7.7%
% of All Funds Holding13.43%
Number of Funds Holding1,104

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$91.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$75.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$67.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$74.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$75.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$67.41Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$75.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$64.00 support 1.05x 2 months ago
$48.00 support 1.12x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% 0.70% 58.68% 13.45% -14.47%
1 Day 0.46% 0.56% 52.89% 15.18% -12.70%
1 Week 0.66% 0.62% 52.89% 27.53% -22.64%
2 Weeks 1.62% 1.80% 62.81% 46.90% -22.17%
1 Month 2.39% 2.37% 56.67% 59.45% -28.30%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%45.5%33
Feb2.4%54.5%33
Mar-0.2%60.6%33
Apr6.2%67.6%34
May2.8%73.5%34
Jun2.7%47.1%34
Jul3.8%60.6%33
Aug1.7%48.5%33
Sep-1.8%36.4%33
Oct3.8%57.6%33
Nov3.5%57.6%33
Dec0.9%54.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 50.4% 1576
Tuesday 0.03% 50.2% 1722
Wednesday 0.23% 52.1% 1720
Thursday 0.18% 49.7% 1687
Friday 0.04% 49.3% 1678

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$69.5M
Net Shares Change-823,179
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings16
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bunker Mathew B SENIOR VP, OPERATIONS -$1.8M 2 2 sell
Simoncic Richard J CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$1.5M 4 4 sell
CHAPMAN MATTHEW W -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Krawczyk Joseph R II SR. VP, WW CLIENT ENGAGEMENT -$345,743.2 1 1 sell
Bjornholt James Eric SENIOR VP AND CFO -$333,203.422 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-17 – 2026-02-26 4 4 -$9.4M 4 C-suite
2026-05-15 – 2026-05-29 7 4 -$3.6M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-15 Bunker Mathew B SENIOR VP, OPERATIONS -$1.0M Transaction at $96.88, now -13.1%
2026-05-15 Simoncic Richard J CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$975,460 Transaction at $97.55, now -13.7%
2026-06-08 Simoncic Richard J CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$487,575 Transaction at $97.52, now -13.6%
2026-05-26 Simoncic Richard J CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$467,175 Transaction at $93.44, now -9.9%
2026-05-19 Simoncic Richard J CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER +$411,156.85 Transaction at $93.85, now -10.3%
2026-05-29 CHAPMAN MATTHEW W -$292,545.6 Transaction at $97.52, now -13.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MCHP on Trend Edge →