MATH — Metalpha Technology Holding Limited

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Metalpha Technology Holding Limited

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides wealth management services in Hong Kong. It offers digital asset-based wealth management services; executes cryptocurrency-related transactions, including the issuance of derivative products to over-the-counter clients; proprietary trading services; crypto derivative market making services for clients, as well as facilitates the trading of crypto derivative products; tr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.08
Market Cap$43.8M
Float23.1M
Shares Outstanding43.4M
P/E (TTM)5.61
Price/Sales (TTM)1.19
Profit Margin18.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)-24.18%
Revenue (TTM)$36.9M
Earnings Growth (YoY)7201.60%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11,252 -$1.4M $11,252 -$1.4M
2021 $225,749 -$5.1M -$213,000 -$622,491
2022 $122,711 -$14.4M $46,926 -$9.1M
2023 $5.7M -$20.6M $2.0M -$11.6M
2024 $16.8M -$3.7M $5.6M -$3.6M
2025 $44.6M $15.9M $21.3M $16.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2024 N/A $177,546
Sep 2024 N/A $6.0M
Mar 2025 N/A $9.8M
Sep 2025 N/A -$2.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership38.7%
Institutional Ownership2.6%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.13%
Number of Funds Holding11

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.09Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.70Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.60 resistance 1.05x 6 months ago
$1.00 support 2.61x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -3.27% -2.40% 38.46% 5.82% -22.73%
1 Day -2.60% -1.89% 30.77% 14.41% -18.75%
1 Week -8.65% -9.42% 30.77% 16.60% -27.00%
2 Weeks -5.78% -5.80% 30.77% 56.85% -40.68%
1 Month -8.00% -6.36% 7.69% 51.03% -31.03%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-5.8%33.3%9
Feb14.2%66.7%9
Mar-7.7%22.2%9
Apr-0.2%22.2%9
May2.0%37.5%8
Jun9.0%62.5%8
Jul-4.2%50.0%8
Aug-8.5%37.5%8
Sep9.1%62.5%8
Oct23.5%62.5%8
Nov-8.8%11.1%9
Dec-3.6%33.3%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.28% 42.3% 404
Tuesday -0.07% 44.8% 446
Wednesday 0.99% 47.8% 441
Thursday -0.39% 40.9% 433
Friday 0.23% 41.2% 434

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 38.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MATH on Trend Edge →