LSAK — Lesaka Technologies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LSAK Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 38, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lesaka Technologies Inc

Lesaka Technologies, Inc. provides financial technology solutions in South Africa and internationally. It operates in three segments: Merchant, Consumer, and Enterprise. The company offers payment acceptance, software, cash management, lending, and alternative digital product solutions to community and corporate customers; banking, lending, and insurance solutions to consumers, principally recipients of social welfare grants; and payment processi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.68
Market Cap$405M
Float54.0M
Shares Outstanding85.8M
P/E (Forward)20.04
P/E (TTM)157.33
Price/Sales (TTM)0.56
vs. Analyst Target+199.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.96%
Revenue (TTM)$722M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $131M -$38.1M $34.5M -$23.2M
2022 $223M -$43.9M $54.3M -$20.7M
2023 $528M -$35.1M $110M $15.4M
2024 $564M -$17.4M $122M $29.8M
2025 $660M -$87.5M $173M -$50.8M
2026 $722M $2.8M N/A $70.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $171M -$4.3M
Dec 2025 $179M $3.5M
Mar 2026 $183M $552,000
Jun 2026 $188M $3.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.0%
Institutional Ownership42.5%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.49%
Number of Funds Holding43

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.50Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.70Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.52Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.40Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.72Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.48Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.90 resistance 1.24x 2 months ago
$3.70 support 1.19x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.64% 0.51% 56.04% 19.75% -15.00%
1 Day 0.25% -0.82% 46.15% 47.46% -30.86%
1 Week 0.27% -1.16% 43.96% 50.89% -32.88%
2 Weeks 0.64% -0.49% 45.05% 49.25% -40.43%
1 Month -0.86% -1.51% 44.44% 70.10% -41.83%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%40.7%27
Feb3.6%59.3%27
Mar-1.2%51.9%27
Apr-1.1%44.4%27
May1.2%50.0%28
Jun-2.6%46.4%28
Jul1.2%46.4%28
Aug1.1%57.1%28
Sep-2.5%39.3%28
Oct6.2%55.6%27
Nov-2.8%37.0%27
Dec7.1%66.7%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.17% 40.0% 1296
Tuesday 0.14% 43.9% 1418
Wednesday 0.25% 45.4% 1418
Thursday 0.06% 44.7% 1391
Friday 0.10% 43.4% 1385

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value+$9.9M
Net Shares Change531,546
% of Float1.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mazanderani Ali Executive Chairman +$9.7M 4 4 buy
International Finance Corp -$4.8M 2 3 sell
Smith Daniel Luke Group CFO +$130,203.99 2 3 buy
Kola Naeem Ebrahim Group Chief Operating Officer +N/A 1 1 sell
Mali Lincoln Camagu CEO: Southern Africa +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-27 – 2026-03-12 5 3 -$4.0M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-17 Mazanderani Ali Executive Chairman +$183,837.9 Transaction at $4.28, now +9.5%
2026-10-06 Kola Naeem Ebrahim Group Chief Operating Officer +N/A N/A
2025-12-09 Smith Daniel Luke Group CFO +$55,336.928 Transaction at $4.18, now +12.0%
2026-01-02 Mazanderani Ali Executive Chairman +$9.0M Transaction at $5.00, now -6.4%
2025-12-11 Smith Daniel Luke Group CFO +$74,867.062 Transaction at $4.34, now +7.9%
2026-02-10 Mazanderani Ali Executive Chairman +$398,604.28 Transaction at $4.36, now +7.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lesaka Technologies Inc (LSAK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LSAK on Trend Edge →