LOW — Lowe's Companies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LOW Bearish with a Setup Score of 37, net conviction 32, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score37
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction32
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lowe's Companies Inc

Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and Canada. It provides a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating. The company also offers home improvement products, such as appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, lumber, lawn and garden, kitchens and bath, hardware, building materials, millwork, paint, rough plumbing, tools, electrica… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$211.63
Market Cap$119.49B
Float559.5M
Shares Outstanding561.0M
P/E (Forward)16.92
P/E (TTM)17.99
Price/Sales (TTM)1.35
vs. Analyst Target+24.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.07%
Revenue (TTM)$88.43B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-0.70%
Dividend Rate5.0%
Analyst Target Price$263.73 (37 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $89.60B $5.83B $28.17B $10.68B
2022 $96.25B $8.44B $30.39B $14.47B
2023 $97.06B $6.44B $30.49B $12.69B
2024 $86.38B $7.73B $27.13B $13.57B
2025 $83.67B $6.96B $26.15B $12.59B
2026 $86.29B $6.65B $28.89B $10.69B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $23.96B $2.40B
Oct 2025 $20.81B $1.62B
Jan 2026 $20.58B $999M
Apr 2026 $23.08B $1.63B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership81.1%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding30.76%
Number of Funds Holding2,528

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$219.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$241.60Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$240.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$229.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$237.49Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$238.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$234.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$238.00 resistance 1.02x 1 months ago
$260.00 resistance 1.01x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.02% 0.00% 45.53% 3.44% -7.13%
1 Day -0.07% 0.01% 50.41% 6.41% -5.62%
1 Week 0.94% 1.32% 61.79% 11.42% -12.30%
2 Weeks 1.40% 2.05% 62.60% 18.54% -20.64%
1 Month 2.45% 2.53% 63.93% 26.75% -21.70%

Next earnings: August 19, 2026 (38 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.4%56.5%46
Feb2.7%58.7%46
Mar3.3%54.3%46
Apr-0.6%46.8%47
May2.6%53.2%47
Jun0.0%48.9%47
Jul0.5%54.3%46
Aug1.3%50.0%46
Sep-0.5%47.8%46
Oct0.6%58.7%46
Nov4.0%67.4%46
Dec3.2%63.0%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 47.0% 2206
Tuesday 0.05% 47.2% 2394
Wednesday 0.19% 49.7% 2392
Thursday 0.07% 49.0% 2346
Friday 0.08% 49.4% 2330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$30.2M
Net Shares Change-77,302
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ellison Marvin R Chairman, President & CEO -$15.3M 2 N/A
McFarland Joseph Michael EVP, Stores -$6.9M 1 1 sell
PRYOR JULIETTE WILLIAMS EVP, CLO & Corp. Sec. -$2.3M 2 2 sell
Sink Brandon J EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.9M 1 1 sell
Dupre Janice EVP, Human Resources -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Vance Quonta D EVP, Pro & Home Services -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Vagell Margrethe R EVP, Supply Chain -$559,575 1 1 sell
Simkins Lawrence +$231,062.7 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-17 – 2026-06-22 3 3 -$4.3M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-18 PRYOR JULIETTE WILLIAMS EVP, CLO & Corp. Sec. -$2.1M Transaction at $224.81, now -5.9%
2026-06-22 Vagell Margrethe R EVP, Supply Chain -$559,575 Transaction at $223.83, now -5.5%
2026-06-17 Dupre Janice EVP, Human Resources -$1.6M Transaction at $164.47, now +28.7%
2025-11-25 Simkins Lawrence +$231,062.7 Transaction at $231.06, now -8.4%
2026-03-05 Vance Quonta D EVP, Pro & Home Services -$1.6M Transaction at $179.87, now +17.7%
2025-09-08 Sink Brandon J EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.9M Transaction at $186.18, now +13.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LOW on Trend Edge →