FND — Floor & Decor Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Floor & Decor Holdings Inc

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, and commercial surfaces seller in the United States. The company offers wood-based laminate flooring, vinyl, and engineered/composite rigid core vinyl; porcelain and ceramic tile, porcelain mosaics and tile slabs; grout, mortar, backer board, tools, adhesives, underlayments, moldings, and s… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$48.21
Market Cap$5.14B
Float106.4M
Shares Outstanding108.1M
P/E (Forward)25.71
P/E (TTM)25.85
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+11.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.27%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.55%
Revenue (TTM)$4.68B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-18.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$53.91 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.43B $195M $1.03B $306M
2021 $3.43B $283M $1.42B $457M
2022 $4.26B $298M $1.73B $552M
2023 $4.41B $246M $1.86B $523M
2024 $4.46B $206M $1.93B $489M
2025 $4.68B $209M $1.93B $511M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.21B $63.2M
Sep 2025 $1.18B $57.3M
Dec 2025 $1.13B $39.3M
Mar 2026 $1.15B $39.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership118.3%
Short Float11.4%
% of All Funds Holding5.04%
Number of Funds Holding414

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$49.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$64.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$76.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$88.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$62.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$75.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$90.02Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$67.00 resistance 1.17x 1 months ago
$74.00 resistance 1.22x 6 months ago
$96.00 resistance 1.22x 13 months ago
$123.00 resistance 1.08x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (37 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.80% 0.68% 59.46% 11.99% -12.80%
1 Day 0.69% 0.79% 59.46% 20.90% -8.82%
1 Week 0.63% 0.50% 54.05% 21.55% -14.31%
2 Weeks -0.54% -1.19% 48.65% 20.41% -15.30%
1 Month 1.15% 2.13% 63.89% 31.05% -41.95%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.2%44.4%9
Feb2.5%66.7%9
Mar-6.1%55.6%9
Apr4.5%55.6%9
May-2.0%44.4%9
Jun3.5%77.8%9
Jul5.1%55.6%9
Aug3.1%77.8%9
Sep-3.1%44.4%9
Oct-6.2%22.2%9
Nov7.8%88.9%9
Dec2.2%55.6%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 51.5% 427
Tuesday 0.12% 49.4% 468
Wednesday 0.18% 51.2% 465
Thursday -0.07% 48.6% 457
Friday 0.09% 49.9% 459

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 118.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$23,467.26
Net Shares Change25,620
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
PAULSEN BRADLEY Chief Executive Officer +$552,595.5 2 2 buy
SAYMAN ERSAN EVP - MERCHANDISING -$450,939.2 1 1 sell
Adamson John J EVP and CIO -$246,848.56 1 1 sell
LANGLEY BRYAN EVP and CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER +$121,725 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-04 3 3 -$77,964.2 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 PAULSEN BRADLEY Chief Executive Officer +$251,250 Transaction at $50.25, now -4.1%
2026-05-04 LANGLEY BRYAN EVP and CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER +$121,725 Transaction at $48.69, now -1.0%
2026-05-04 SAYMAN ERSAN EVP - MERCHANDISING -$450,939.2 Transaction at $29.14, now +65.5%
2025-11-03 PAULSEN BRADLEY President +$301,345.5 Transaction at $60.27, now -20.0%
2025-08-08 Adamson John J EVP and CIO -$246,848.56 Transaction at $50.11, now -3.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FND on Trend Edge →