FND — Floor & Decor Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FND Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 39, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Floor & Decor Holdings Inc

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, and commercial surfaces seller in the United States. The company offers wood-based laminate flooring, vinyl, and engineered/composite rigid core vinyl; porcelain and ceramic tile, porcelain mosaics and tile slabs; grout, mortar, backer board, tools, adhesives, underlayments, moldings, and s… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$54.87
Market Cap$5.83B
Float104.8M
Shares Outstanding106.5M
P/E (Forward)25.71
P/E (TTM)26.81
Price/Sales (TTM)1.24
vs. Analyst Target+6.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.44%
Revenue (TTM)$4.71B
Earnings Growth (YoY)53.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$58.59 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.43B $195M $1.03B $306M
2021 $3.43B $283M $1.42B $457M
2022 $4.26B $298M $1.73B $552M
2023 $4.41B $246M $1.86B $523M
2024 $4.46B $206M $1.93B $489M
2025 $4.68B $209M $2.04B $519M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.18B $57.3M
Dec 2025 $1.13B $39.3M
Mar 2026 $1.15B $39.7M
Jun 2026 $1.25B $95.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership121.3%
Short Float13.8%
% of All Funds Holding5.26%
Number of Funds Holding463

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$57.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$58.48Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$67.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$87.26Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$58.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$68.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$87.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$51.00 support 1.07x 1 months ago
$67.00 resistance 1.17x 4 months ago
$74.00 resistance 1.22x 9 months ago
$96.00 resistance 1.22x 16 months ago
$123.00 resistance 1.08x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (38 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.93% 0.69% 60.53% 11.99% -12.80%
1 Day 0.77% 0.81% 60.53% 20.90% -8.82%
1 Week 0.97% 0.84% 55.26% 21.55% -14.31%
2 Weeks -0.37% -0.43% 50.00% 20.41% -15.30%
1 Month 1.18% 2.28% 64.86% 31.05% -41.95%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.2%44.4%9
Feb2.5%66.7%9
Mar-6.1%55.6%9
Apr4.5%55.6%9
May-1.2%50.0%10
Jun4.7%80.0%10
Jul4.3%50.0%10
Aug3.1%77.8%9
Sep-3.1%44.4%9
Oct-6.2%22.2%9
Nov7.8%88.9%9
Dec2.2%55.6%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 50.3% 439
Tuesday 0.15% 49.6% 482
Wednesday 0.19% 51.1% 479
Thursday -0.04% 48.6% 471
Friday 0.10% 49.7% 471

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 121.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$8.8M
Net Shares Change8,651
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TAYLOR THOMAS V Executive Chair -$9.0M 1 1 sell
PAULSEN BRADLEY Chief Executive Officer +$552,595.5 2 2 buy
SAYMAN ERSAN EVP - MERCHANDISING -$450,939.2 1 1 sell
LANGLEY BRYAN EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER +$121,725 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-04 3 3 -$77,964.2 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-10 TAYLOR THOMAS V Executive Chair -$9.0M Transaction at $41.65, now +31.7%
2026-05-04 PAULSEN BRADLEY Chief Executive Officer +$251,250 Transaction at $50.25, now +9.2%
2026-05-04 LANGLEY BRYAN EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER +$121,725 Transaction at $48.69, now +12.7%
2025-11-03 PAULSEN BRADLEY President +$301,345.5 Transaction at $60.27, now -9.0%
2026-05-04 SAYMAN ERSAN EVP - MERCHANDISING -$450,939.2 Transaction at $29.14, now +88.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FND on Trend Edge →