HD — The Home Depot Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About The Home Depot Inc

The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, baths, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$321.33
Market Cap$311.10B
Float995.4M
Shares Outstanding997.1M
P/E (Forward)20.92
P/E (TTM)22.16
Price/Sales (TTM)1.87
vs. Analyst Target+15.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.41%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.93%
Revenue (TTM)$166.59B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.30%
Dividend Rate9.3%
Analyst Target Price$370.21 (39 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $132.11B $12.87B $44.85B $20.84B
2022 $151.16B $16.43B $50.83B $25.95B
2023 $157.40B $17.11B $52.78B $27.07B
2024 $152.67B $15.14B $50.96B $25.11B
2025 $159.51B $14.81B $53.31B $25.43B
2026 $164.68B $14.16B $54.87B $24.29B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $45.28B $4.55B
Oct 2025 $41.35B $3.60B
Jan 2026 $38.20B $2.57B
Apr 2026 $41.77B $3.29B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership76.1%
Short Float1.3%
% of All Funds Holding46.95%
Number of Funds Holding3,859

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$322.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$357.58Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$369.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$346.51Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$353.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$370.01Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$354.18Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$375.00 resistance 1.16x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.29% 0.07% 54.55% 8.84% -8.99%
1 Day -0.20% -0.12% 47.11% 9.26% -12.90%
1 Week 0.45% 0.78% 57.02% 13.88% -15.57%
2 Weeks 0.30% 0.26% 52.89% 15.75% -16.41%
1 Month 1.49% 1.90% 57.50% 23.11% -31.81%

Next earnings: August 18, 2026 (69 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%51.1%45
Feb2.3%57.8%45
Mar2.5%60.0%45
Apr2.6%66.7%45
May3.2%60.0%45
Jun0.6%47.7%44
Jul1.8%61.4%44
Aug1.1%50.0%44
Sep-0.5%45.5%44
Oct1.1%55.6%45
Nov5.7%77.8%45
Dec4.2%57.8%45

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 47.0% 2128
Tuesday 0.13% 47.3% 2311
Wednesday 0.13% 49.5% 2309
Thursday 0.12% 48.5% 2266
Friday 0.13% 50.2% 2253

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$16.6M
Net Shares Change-10,127
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Decker Edward P. Chair, President and CEO -$8.8M 1 1 sell
Roseborough Teresa Wynn EVP, Gen. Counsel and Corp. Sec. -$2.3M 2 2 sell
Bastek William D EVP, Merchandising -$1.7M 2 2 sell
McPhail Richard V EVP and CFO -$940,669.5 1 1 sell
Deaton John A. EVP - Supply Chain and Prod. Dev -$661,617 1 1 sell
Padilla Hector A EVP - US Sales and Operations -$640,609.45 1 1 sell
BROWN ANGIE EVP and CIO -$301,390.94 1 1 sell
Campbell Ann Marie Senior EVP -$51,947.7 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-22 – 2025-08-25 6 6 -$13.0M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-30 Roseborough Teresa Wynn EVP, Gen. Counsel and Corp. Sec. -$1.0M Transaction at $348.52, now -7.8%
2026-03-05 Deaton John A. EVP - Supply Chain and Prod. Dev -$661,617 Transaction at $369.00, now -12.9%
2026-03-05 McPhail Richard V EVP and CFO -$940,669.5 Transaction at $368.89, now -12.9%
2025-12-15 BROWN ANGIE EVP and CIO -$301,390.94 Transaction at $308.95, now +4.0%
2025-12-12 Campbell Ann Marie Senior EVP -$51,947.7 Transaction at $358.26, now -10.3%
2025-08-22 Padilla Hector A EVP - US Sales and Operations -$640,609.45 Transaction at $404.17, now -20.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for The Home Depot Inc (HD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HD on Trend Edge →