LOCL — Local Bounti Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LOCL Bearish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 44, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction44
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Local Bounti Corp

Local Bounti Corporation produces and sells fresh greens in the United States. The company offers lettuce, arugula, herbs, berries, and loose-leaf lettuce. It sells its products to food retailers and food service distributors. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Montana. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.01
Market Cap$24.5M
Float300K
Shares Outstanding23.4M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.47
vs. Analyst Target+494.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-130.52%
Operating Margin (TTM)-100.71%
Revenue (TTM)$51.8M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $82,000 -$8.4M -$9,000 -$7.6M
2021 $638,000 -$56.1M $206,000 -$48.8M
2022 $19.5M -$111M $2.2M -$83.9M
2023 $27.6M -$124M $2.2M -$85.1M
2024 $38.1M -$120M $4.1M -$42.1M
2025 $48.4M -$94.4M $5.9M -$39.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $12.2M -$26.4M
Dec 2025 $12.5M -$8.7M
Mar 2026 $13.3M -$12.7M
Jun 2026 $13.8M -$19.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership99.6%
Institutional Ownership4.6%
Short Float18.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.26%
Number of Funds Holding23

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.14Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.12Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.26Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.34% 0.34% 63.64% 13.04% -17.57%
1 Day 0.73% -0.60% 40.91% 34.09% -22.16%
1 Week 12.58% -0.52% 45.45% 255.41% -37.16%
2 Weeks 4.02% -2.77% 38.10% 142.33% -33.92%
1 Month 2.59% -13.61% 33.33% 189.98% -47.53%

Next earnings: October 31, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 43.4% 249
Tuesday -0.02% 42.8% 278
Wednesday 0.16% 42.0% 276
Thursday -0.91% 36.8% 269
Friday 0.38% 41.5% 270

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 4.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 99.6%

Founder-led management: Craig M. Hurlbert (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman of the Board), Travis Joyner (Co-Founder & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$502,336
Net Shares Change-426,720
% of Float-142.4%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
VALIASEK KATHLEEN President and CEO -$386,336 2 2 sell
Hurlbert Craig M. Executive Chairman -$116,000 1 1 sell
Nordby Matthew -$16,276.7 7 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-02 VALIASEK KATHLEEN President and CEO -$154,336 Transaction at $1.30, now -22.3%
2026-04-03 VALIASEK KATHLEEN President and CEO -$232,000 Transaction at $1.16, now -12.9%
2026-04-03 Hurlbert Craig M. Executive Chairman -$116,000 Transaction at $1.16, now -12.9%
2026-01-09 Nordby Matthew -$2,222.7 Transaction at $2.22, now -54.6%
2026-01-02 Nordby Matthew -$2,137.2 Transaction at $2.14, now -52.7%
2025-12-29 Nordby Matthew -$2,185.9 Transaction at $2.19, now -53.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Local Bounti Corp (LOCL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LOCL on Trend Edge →