CALM — Cal-Maine Foods Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CALM Bearish with a Setup Score of 17, net conviction 18, actionability 16. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score17
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction18
Actionability16 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Cal-Maine Foods Inc

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, grading, packaging, marketing, and distribution of shell eggs, egg products, and prepared foods in the United Sates. It operates through Conventional Shell Eggs, Specialty Shell Eggs, and Prepared Foods segments. The company offers specialty shell eggs, including cage-free, organic, brown, free-range, and pasture-raised and nutritionally enhanced eggs, as well as co… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$84.14
Market Cap$3.85B
Float42.0M
Shares Outstanding46.7M
P/E (Forward)19.80
P/E (TTM)12.14
Price/Sales (TTM)1.32
vs. Analyst Target+4.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)-11.04%
Revenue (TTM)$2.91B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-89.80%
Dividend Rate4.8%
Analyst Target Price$88.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.35B $2.1M $161M $49.7M
2022 $1.78B $133M $337M $235M
2023 $3.15B $758M $1.20B $1.07B
2024 $2.33B $278M $542M $441M
2025 $4.26B $1.22B $1.85B $1.70B
2026 $2.91B $317M $672M $468M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $923M $199M
Nov 2025 $769M $103M
Feb 2026 $667M $50.5M
May 2026 $553M -$35.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.9%
Institutional Ownership98.1%
Short Float12.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.17%
Number of Funds Holding455

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$85.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$81.45Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$89.48Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$73.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$81.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$90.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$76.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$81.00 support 1.10x 0 months ago
$115.00 resistance 1.07x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.09% 0.00% 47.00% 8.09% -10.76%
1 Day 0.06% 0.07% 51.00% 13.80% -14.50%
1 Week 0.16% -0.19% 48.00% 17.00% -22.86%
2 Weeks -0.24% -0.06% 49.00% 26.39% -27.46%
1 Month 0.45% 0.18% 52.53% 43.10% -39.67%

Next earnings: October 7, 2026 (41 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%46.7%30
Feb1.0%50.0%30
Mar2.3%60.0%30
Apr-1.9%40.0%30
May1.4%40.0%30
Jun3.0%63.3%30
Jul1.8%46.7%30
Aug0.1%55.2%29
Sep-0.4%44.8%29
Oct1.2%48.3%29
Nov7.3%65.5%29
Dec5.5%58.6%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.8% 1405
Tuesday 0.08% 49.3% 1534
Wednesday -0.02% 46.6% 1532
Thursday 0.12% 48.1% 1503
Friday 0.26% 49.2% 1495

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$258,598.76
Net Shares Change2,800
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lombardo Keira L Chief Strategy Officer +$258,598.76 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-06 Lombardo Keira L Chief Strategy Officer +$258,598.76 Transaction at $92.36, now -8.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CALM on Trend Edge →