ADM — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$79.55
Market Cap$37.17B
Float477.9M
Shares Outstanding482.0M
P/E (Forward)16.84
P/E (TTM)34.43
Price/Sales (TTM)0.46
vs. Analyst Target-6.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.27%
Revenue (TTM)$80.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)0.90%
Dividend Rate2.1%
Analyst Target Price$74.10 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $64.36B $1.77B $4.45B $3.20B
2021 $85.25B $2.71B $5.99B $4.57B
2022 $101.56B $4.34B $7.57B $6.66B
2023 $93.94B $3.48B $7.51B $6.00B
2024 $85.53B $1.80B $5.78B $4.10B
2025 $80.27B $1.08B $5.03B $3.05B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $21.19B $219M
Sep 2025 $20.37B $108M
Dec 2025 $18.56B $456M
Mar 2026 $20.49B $298M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership87.1%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding12.82%
Number of Funds Holding1,054

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$74.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$65.75Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$58.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$67.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$66.43Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$58.70Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$63.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$58.00 support 1.03x 3 months ago
$49.00 support 1.13x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% 0.00% 42.15% 4.44% -8.68%
1 Day -0.16% -0.21% 47.11% 5.77% -7.63%
1 Week 0.39% 0.78% 53.72% 12.17% -9.85%
2 Weeks 0.42% 0.03% 50.41% 18.18% -13.30%
1 Month 1.38% 0.83% 55.83% 20.86% -17.94%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%41.3%46
Feb-0.0%50.0%46
Mar0.6%50.0%46
Apr0.4%53.2%47
May1.8%60.9%46
Jun-0.8%41.3%46
Jul0.4%58.7%46
Aug1.8%56.5%46
Sep-0.4%52.2%46
Oct3.7%67.4%46
Nov2.2%56.5%46
Dec2.3%60.9%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 46.0% 2200
Tuesday 0.09% 47.3% 2389
Wednesday 0.02% 46.6% 2386
Thursday 0.08% 48.3% 2340
Friday 0.08% 48.3% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$10.1M
Net Shares Change-136,606
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Morris Gregory A Senior Vice President -$3.4M 1 1 sell
Cuddy Christopher M Senior Vice President -$2.6M 1 1 sell
Pinner Ian R Senior Vice President -$2.4M 1 1 sell
Weber Jennifer L Senior Vice President -$1.7M 1 1 sell
McAtee David R II +$486,720 1 1 buy
WESTBROOK KELVIN R -$440,930.278 1 1 sell
Schlitz Lei Zhang -$280,969.104 1 1 sell
Sandler Debra A. -$280,969.104 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-05 5 5 -$1.6M
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-16 3 3 -$8.4M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-16 Pinner Ian R Senior Vice President -$2.4M Transaction at $71.53, now +11.2%
2026-03-11 Morris Gregory A Senior Vice President -$3.4M Transaction at $68.48, now +16.2%
2026-03-16 Cuddy Christopher M Senior Vice President -$2.6M Transaction at $73.50, now +8.2%
2026-02-09 McAtee David R II +$486,720 Transaction at $64.90, now +22.6%
2026-02-19 Weber Jennifer L Senior Vice President -$1.7M Transaction at $67.04, now +18.7%
2026-01-05 WESTBROOK KELVIN R -$440,930.278 Transaction at $58.28, now +36.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADM on Trend Edge →