LILA — Liberty Latin America Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LILA Bullish with a Setup Score of 9, net conviction 39, actionability 2. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score9
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability2 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Liberty Latin America Ltd

Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, Curacao, Chile, and internationally. The company operates through Liberty Caribbean, C&W Panama, Liberty Networks, Liberty Puerto Rico, and Liberty Costa Rico segments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.65
Market Cap$1.60B
Float135.0M
Shares Outstanding36.9M
P/E (Forward)15.87
Price/Sales (TTM)0.36
vs. Analyst Target+27.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.46%
Revenue (TTM)$4.46B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-15.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.07 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.76B -$682M $2.50B $620M
2021 $4.81B -$441M $3.08B $1.17B
2022 $4.81B -$171M $3.08B $1.34B
2023 $4.51B -$73.6M $3.00B $1.55B
2024 $4.46B -$657M $2.96B $965M
2025 $4.44B -$611M $3.00B $909M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.11B $3.3M
Dec 2025 $1.16B -$54.8M
Mar 2026 $1.08B -$22.7M
Jun 2026 $288M N/A

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.8%
Institutional Ownership75.8%
Short Float0.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.71%
Number of Funds Holding238

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.30Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.39Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.46Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.50 support 2.12x 1 months ago
$4.80 support 1.21x 11 months ago
$4.20 support 1.04x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.98% -0.26% 37.78% 3.78% -7.87%
1 Day -0.99% 1.00% 53.33% 16.55% -27.98%
1 Week -3.05% -2.42% 35.56% 13.05% -37.21%
2 Weeks -3.62% -3.16% 37.78% 18.42% -32.31%
1 Month -4.61% -4.48% 36.36% 21.70% -41.38%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%45.5%11
Feb-0.8%45.5%11
Mar-2.2%36.4%11
Apr0.6%54.5%11
May-0.1%45.5%11
Jun3.6%54.5%11
Jul3.9%54.5%11
Aug-2.5%54.5%11
Sep-3.5%36.4%11
Oct1.7%54.5%11
Nov-3.7%27.3%11
Dec-1.9%45.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 49.3% 525
Tuesday -0.11% 45.6% 577
Wednesday 0.03% 50.7% 574
Thursday -0.03% 47.9% 564
Friday -0.02% 48.1% 561

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$9.1M
Net Shares Change6,875,759
% of Float5.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MALONE JOHN C +$34.7M 5 7 buy
FRIES MICHAEL T Executive Chairman +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Nair Balan President and CEO +$1.0M 1 1 buy
BRACKEN CHARLES H R +$197,505.325 2 2 buy, 1 sell
WINTER JOHN M SVP, CLO AND SECRETARY +$99,738.456 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-23 – 2026-06-30 6 5 +$33.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-13 BRACKEN CHARLES H R -$3,394.675 Transaction at $14.75, now -41.3%
2026-07-17 FRIES MICHAEL T Executive Chairman +$1.0M Transaction at $20.39, now -57.6%
2026-06-23 Nair Balan President and CEO +$1.0M Transaction at $6.07, now +42.5%
2026-06-30 WINTER JOHN M SVP, CLO AND SECRETARY +$99,738.456 Transaction at $19.67, now -56.0%
2026-06-24 MALONE JOHN C +$27.9M Transaction at $12.72, now -32.0%
2026-08-11 MALONE JOHN C +$2.9M Transaction at $13.38, now -35.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Liberty Latin America Ltd (LILA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LILA on Trend Edge →