LILA — Liberty Latin America Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LILA Bearish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 43, actionability 53. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction43
Actionability53 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Liberty Latin America Ltd

Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, Curacao, Chile, and internationally. The company operates through C&W Caribbean, C&W Panama, Liberty Networks, Liberty Puerto Rico, and Liberty Costa Rico segments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.29
Market Cap$1.47B
Float128.5M
Shares Outstanding37.8M
P/E (Forward)15.87
Price/Sales (TTM)0.33
vs. Analyst Target+38.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-11.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.09%
Revenue (TTM)$4.44B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-15.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.07 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.76B -$682M $2.50B $620M
2021 $4.81B -$441M $3.08B $1.17B
2022 $4.81B -$171M $3.08B $1.34B
2023 $4.51B -$73.6M $3.00B $1.55B
2024 $4.46B -$657M $2.96B $965M
2025 $4.44B -$611M $3.00B $909M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.09B -$423M
Sep 2025 $1.11B $3.3M
Dec 2025 $1.16B -$54.8M
Mar 2026 $1.08B -$22.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership19.1%
Institutional Ownership77.5%
Short Float0.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.52%
Number of Funds Holding207

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.06Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.34Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.94Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.50 support 2.65x 0 months ago
$9.90 resistance 1.06x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.09% -0.28% 36.36% 3.78% -7.87%
1 Day -1.10% 0.67% 52.27% 16.55% -27.98%
1 Week -3.17% -2.48% 34.09% 13.05% -37.21%
2 Weeks -3.65% -3.24% 38.64% 18.43% -32.31%
1 Month -4.73% -4.54% 34.88% 21.70% -41.38%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%45.5%11
Feb-0.8%45.5%11
Mar-3.1%36.4%11
Apr-1.6%54.5%11
May-0.1%45.5%11
Jun3.7%54.5%11
Jul3.9%50.0%10
Aug-2.5%54.5%11
Sep-3.5%36.4%11
Oct1.7%54.5%11
Nov-3.7%27.3%11
Dec-1.9%45.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.10% 49.2% 518
Tuesday -0.10% 45.6% 570
Wednesday 0.02% 50.6% 567
Thursday -0.08% 47.9% 557
Friday -0.03% 48.0% 554

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 77.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 19.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$10.1M
Net Shares Change6,477,485
% of Float5.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MALONE JOHN C +$31.3M 3 5 buy, 1 sell
Nair Balan President and CEO -$9.5M 3 2 buy, 1 sell
ZOOK BRIAN D MD, CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER -$759,344.335 1 1 sell
PADDICK BRENDAN J +$488,200 1 1 buy
BRACKEN CHARLES H R +$200,900 1 1 buy
WINTER JOHN M SVP, CLO AND SECRETARY +$99,738.456 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-23 – 2026-06-30 6 5 +$33.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-23 Nair Balan President and CEO +$1.0M Transaction at $6.07, now +20.1%
2026-06-30 WINTER JOHN M SVP, CLO AND SECRETARY +$99,738.456 Transaction at $19.67, now -62.9%
2026-06-24 MALONE JOHN C +$27.9M Transaction at $12.72, now -42.7%
2026-06-29 MALONE JOHN C +$3.4M Transaction at $13.71, now -46.8%
2026-06-25 BRACKEN CHARLES H R +$200,900 Transaction at $20.50, now -64.4%
2026-06-23 PADDICK BRENDAN J +$488,200 Transaction at $4.88, now +49.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Liberty Latin America Ltd (LILA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LILA on Trend Edge →