LAR — Lithium Argentina AG

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LAR Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 29, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lithium Argentina AG

Lithium Argentina AG, a resource company, engages in the operation and development of lithium projects in Argentina. It owns interests in the Cauchari-Olaroz project located in Jujuy province; and the Pastos Grandes project located in Salta Province of Argentina. The company was formerly known as Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp. and changed its name to Lithium Argentina AG in January 2025. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.08
Market Cap$1.20B
Float137.8M
Shares Outstanding163.8M
P/E (Forward)15.85
Price/Sales (TTM)89.06
vs. Analyst Target+85.4% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.13 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$38.1M -$686,442 -$32.8M
2021 N/A -$38.5M -$267,000 -$25.3M
2022 N/A -$93.6M -$180,000 -$11.5M
2023 N/A $1.29B -$441,000 $51.9M
2024 N/A -$15.2M -$560,000 -$7,000
2025 N/A -$75.4M -$350,000 -$48.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$4.1M
Sep 2025 N/A -$64.4M
Dec 2025 N/A $262,000
Mar 2026 N/A $8.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.7%
Institutional Ownership41.0%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.86%
Number of Funds Holding153

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.28Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.70 support 1.71x 5 months ago
$4.30 support 1.70x 7 months ago
$3.50 support 3.19x 8 months ago
$2.70 support 1.58x 10 months ago
$2.10 support 1.48x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (43 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.05% 0.00% 39.53% 9.53% -5.97%
1 Day -0.13% -1.23% 32.56% 13.67% -12.07%
1 Week 0.29% -1.36% 46.51% 38.10% -24.39%
2 Weeks 1.03% -1.19% 44.19% 30.96% -17.33%
1 Month 2.40% -0.16% 47.62% 51.14% -31.71%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan22.3%66.7%18
Feb10.3%55.6%18
Mar-2.8%27.8%18
Apr-0.2%22.2%18
May2.5%55.6%18
Jun-7.5%38.9%18
Jul3.9%52.9%17
Aug7.4%47.1%17
Sep11.8%64.7%17
Oct-1.8%38.9%18
Nov0.3%50.0%18
Dec4.3%44.4%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 42.4% 840
Tuesday 0.22% 37.5% 922
Wednesday 0.07% 40.9% 919
Thursday 0.18% 40.6% 900
Friday 0.54% 42.6% 897

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 41.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LAR on Trend Edge →