KTCC — Key Tronic Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KTCC Bearish with a Setup Score of 60, net conviction 65, actionability 55. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score60
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction65
Actionability55 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Key Tronic Corporation

Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, assemblies, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.12
Market Cap$24.0M
Float10.1M
Shares Outstanding11.1M
P/E (Forward)8.06
Price/Sales (TTM)0.06
vs. Analyst Target+336.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-12.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)-17.28%
Revenue (TTM)$387M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-88.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.25

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $519M $4.3M $42.0M $16.4M
2022 $532M $3.4M $43.2M $16.4M
2023 $605M $5.2M $47.6M $26.1M
2024 $567M -$2.8M $40.0M $17.9M
2025 $468M -$8.3M $36.4M $10.2M
2026 $387M -$47.8M $23.9M -$11.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $98.8M -$2.3M
Dec 2025 $96.3M -$8.6M
Mar 2026 $89.6M -$2.6M
Jun 2026 $102M -$34.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.0%
Institutional Ownership40.7%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.30%
Number of Funds Holding26

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.93Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.40 resistance 1.68x 0 months ago
$3.90 resistance 1.78x 1 months ago
$5.70 resistance 1.85x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (115 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.30% 0.00% 49.57% 39.29% -27.27%
1 Day 2.18% 0.00% 46.96% 52.47% -28.31%
1 Week 1.11% -1.58% 44.35% 60.10% -37.40%
2 Weeks 1.56% -0.87% 46.09% 100.00% -37.40%
1 Month 6.03% -1.73% 44.74% 373.33% -35.19%

Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.7%55.8%43
Feb1.8%41.9%43
Mar-2.6%30.2%43
Apr5.2%51.2%43
May1.4%48.8%43
Jun-1.6%37.2%43
Jul1.7%54.5%44
Aug0.6%50.0%44
Sep-1.0%43.2%44
Oct5.9%41.9%43
Nov0.4%41.9%43
Dec-3.0%37.2%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.18% 38.8% 2059
Tuesday -0.04% 40.0% 2237
Wednesday 0.18% 42.6% 2234
Thursday 0.29% 43.6% 2194
Friday 0.12% 41.8% 2182

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 40.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$73,575.68
Net Shares Change64,188
% of Float0.6%
C-Suite Filings16
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Voorhees Anthony Gene EVP-Admin, CFO, Treasurer -$11,682.98 2 2 sell
Larsen Brett R. Chief Executive Officer -$11,029.61 1 1 sell
Agress Adam L EVP Business Development -$9,256.4 2 2 sell
Orebaugh Chad Thomas EVP of Engineering -$7,692.36 2 2 sell
Knaggs David H. EVP of Quality and IS -$7,692.36 2 2 sell
Courtney Mark R Vice President of Supply Chain -$1,324.44 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-28 – 2026-09-08 16 8 -$73,575.68 16 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-08 Voorhees Anthony Gene EVP-Admin, CFO, Treasurer -$3,283.02 Transaction at $2.34, now -9.4%
2026-09-08 Orebaugh Chad Thomas EVP of Engineering -$2,164.5 Transaction at $2.34, now -9.4%
2026-09-08 Knaggs David H. EVP of Quality and IS -$2,164.5 Transaction at $2.34, now -9.4%
2026-09-08 Courtney Mark R Vice President of Supply Chain -$1,324.44 Transaction at $2.34, now -9.4%
2026-09-08 Agress Adam L EVP Business Development -$2,602.08 Transaction at $2.34, now -9.4%
2026-08-31 Agress Adam L EVP Business Development -$6,654.32 Transaction at $3.73, now -43.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KTCC on Trend Edge →