KSPI — Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, together with its subsidiaries, provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Ukraine. The company operates through three segments: Payments, Marketplace, and Fintech. The Payments segment offers a platform that facilities transactions between and among merchants and consumers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$92.80
Market Cap$17.29B
Float89.7M
Shares Outstanding190.0M
P/E (TTM)7.73
Price/Sales (TTM)1.93
vs. Analyst Target+7.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin24.91%
Revenue (TTM)$3.64T
Earnings Growth (YoY)-1.00%
Dividend Rate3.6%
Analyst Target Price$99.66 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $647.52B $260.96B $448.21B $325.95B
2021 $885.48B $431.91B $812.11B $713.63B
2022 $1.27T $585.03B $1.17T $1.02T
2023 $1.89T $841.35B $1.22T $998.80B
2024 $2.52T $1.04T $1.57T $1.27T
2025 $3.94T $1.04T $2.89T $1.30T

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $969.51B $257.33B
Sep 2025 $1.11T $278.05B
Dec 2025 $1.11T $267.97B
Mar 2026 $1.03T $239.02B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership44.0%
Institutional Ownership47.8%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.89%
Number of Funds Holding155

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$83.52Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$78.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$85.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$80.53Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$87.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$75.00 support 1.17x 0 months ago
$105.00 resistance 1.18x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (10 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.57% -0.26% 30.00% 0.38% -2.28%
1 Day 0.89% 1.17% 60.00% 4.28% -3.47%
1 Week 1.69% 1.34% 60.00% 8.04% -5.04%
2 Weeks 1.61% 2.94% 66.67% 8.33% -7.72%
1 Month 5.40% 1.88% 55.56% 29.95% -8.81%

Next earnings: August 10, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.22% 49.6% 113
Tuesday 0.12% 52.8% 123
Wednesday 0.28% 54.6% 119
Thursday -0.22% 45.2% 115
Friday -0.28% 43.2% 118

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 47.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 44.0%

Founder-led management: Mikheil Nugzarovich Lomtadze (Chairman of the Management Board & CEO)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (KSPI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KSPI on Trend Edge →