KRT — Karat Packaging Inc

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Karat Packaging Inc

Karat Packaging Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of single-use disposable products in plastic, paper, biopolymer-based, and other compostable forms used in various restaurant and foodservice settings. It offers food and take-out containers, bags, boxes, tableware, cups, lids, cutlery, straws, specialty beverage ingredients, gloves, utensils, janitorial and warehouse supplies, and other products und… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.46
Market Cap$552M
Float8.5M
Shares Outstanding20.0M
P/E (TTM)17.51
Price/Sales (TTM)1.15
vs. Analyst Target+17.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.24%
Revenue (TTM)$481M
Earnings Growth (YoY)5.60%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$31.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $296M $17.5M $89.1M $34.4M
2021 $364M $20.8M $108M $40.5M
2022 $423M $23.6M $132M $48.8M
2023 $406M $32.5M $153M $60.8M
2024 $423M $30.0M $164M $61.1M
2025 $468M $31.5M $172M $62.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $124M $10.9M
Sep 2025 $125M $7.3M
Dec 2025 $116M $6.8M
Mar 2026 $117M $6.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership58.0%
Institutional Ownership33.4%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding1.47%
Number of Funds Holding121

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.14Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.56Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.13Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$25.01Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.50 support 1.00x 1 months ago
$31.10 resistance 2.78x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.33% -1.08% 36.36% 7.70% -7.11%
1 Day -1.25% -2.34% 45.45% 20.66% -14.83%
1 Week 1.07% -0.56% 45.45% 21.07% -13.70%
2 Weeks 2.07% 2.09% 54.55% 23.71% -18.21%
1 Month 1.77% -0.97% 47.62% 28.15% -15.12%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.33% 56.7% 238
Tuesday -0.11% 49.8% 265
Wednesday 0.08% 51.3% 263
Thursday 0.24% 51.2% 256
Friday -0.16% 49.2% 260

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 33.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 58.0%

Founder-led management: Alan Yu (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO), Marvin Cheng (Co-Founder, VP of Manufacturing & Secretary)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$46.5M
Net Shares Change-1,723,639
% of Float-20.2%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Yu Alan Chief Executive Officer -$23.3M 2 2 sell
Cheng Marvin VP-Manufacturing, Secy -$23.3M 2 2 sell
Guo Jian Chief Financial Officer +$30,091.71 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-14 Guo Jian Chief Financial Officer +$30,091.71 Transaction at $22.11, now +19.7%
2025-06-13 Yu Alan Chief Executive Officer -$20.3M Transaction at $27.00, now -2.0%
2025-06-13 Cheng Marvin VP-Manufacturing, Secy -$20.3M Transaction at $27.00, now -2.0%
2025-07-01 Cheng Marvin VP-Manufacturing, Secy -$3.0M Transaction at $27.00, now -2.0%
2025-07-01 Yu Alan Chief Executive Officer -$3.0M Transaction at $27.00, now -2.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Karat Packaging Inc (KRT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KRT on Trend Edge →