KRMN — Karman Holdings Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KRMN Bearish with a Setup Score of 66, net conviction 31, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score66
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction31
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Karman Holdings Inc.

Karman Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary, engages in designing, testing, manufacturing, and sale of mission-critical systems in the United States. The company offers payload protection and deployment systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems. It serves its products to hypersonics and strategic missile defense, tactical missile and integrated defense systems, and space and launch markets. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$51.37
Market Cap$7.20B
Float102.7M
Shares Outstanding132.5M
P/E (Forward)105.26
P/E (TTM)217.44
Price/Sales (TTM)12.22
vs. Analyst Target+69.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.23%
Revenue (TTM)$590M
Earnings Growth (YoY)111.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$87.10 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $226M -$14.1M $80.9M $55.2M
2023 $281M $4.4M $106M $76.2M
2024 $345M $12.7M $132M $97.9M
2025 $472M $17.4M $190M $120M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $122M $7.6M
Dec 2025 $134M $7.7M
Mar 2026 $151M $7.8M
Jun 2026 $182M $14.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.8%
Institutional Ownership105.3%
Short Float14.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.02%
Number of Funds Holding354

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$51.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$71.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$61.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$68.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$58.00 resistance 1.78x 1 months ago
$67.00 resistance 1.45x 2 months ago
$92.00 resistance 1.34x 4 months ago
$101.00 resistance 1.37x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (6 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.85% -2.97% 50.00% 10.00% -13.74%
1 Day 2.68% 6.06% 66.67% 9.57% -7.58%
1 Week 3.20% 5.56% 66.67% 23.85% -19.65%
2 Weeks -2.66% -6.77% 33.33% 26.37% -19.89%
1 Month -3.82% -10.28% 20.00% 41.22% -22.74%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$35.0M
Net Shares Change-641,000
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Koblinski Anthony Chief Executive Officer -$19.6M 4 N/A
Willis Michael Chief Financial Officer -$6.7M 1 N/A
Raduenz Brian -$6.1M 1 N/A
Beaudoin Jonathan Chief Operating Officer -$4.7M 1 N/A
Sawhill Stephanie Chief Growth Officer -$4.0M 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-13 – 2025-11-24 5 5 -$25.9M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-18 Willis Michael Chief Financial Officer -$6.7M Transaction at $58.63, now -12.4%
2025-11-14 Sawhill Stephanie Chief Growth Officer -$4.0M Transaction at $63.93, now -19.6%
2025-11-13 Raduenz Brian -$6.1M Transaction at $68.00, now -24.5%
2025-11-14 Beaudoin Jonathan Chief Operating Officer -$4.7M Transaction at $63.69, now -19.3%
2025-12-15 Koblinski Anthony Chief Executive Officer -$5.2M Transaction at $69.31, now -25.9%
2025-12-01 Koblinski Anthony Chief Executive Officer -$5.1M Transaction at $67.40, now -23.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KRMN on Trend Edge →