KPLT — Katapult Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KPLT Bearish with a Setup Score of 37, net conviction 32, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score37
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction32
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Katapult Holdings Inc

Katapult Holdings, Inc. operates a lease-to-own platform for nonprime consumers in the United States. The company's platform integrates retailers and e-commerce platforms to enable non-prime customers to purchase everyday durable goods. It also offers Katapult Pay, a POS integrations and mobile app that allows consumers to leverage its virtual credit card technology to shop various durable goods merchants featured in app marketplace. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.82
Market Cap$28.8M
Float4.6M
Shares Outstanding5.0M
P/E (TTM)3.20
Price/Sales (TTM)0.11
vs. Analyst Target+16.0% to analyst PT
Revenue (TTM)$302M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-18.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.75 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $247M $22.5M $79.8M $148M
2021 $303M $21.2M $89.0M $182M
2022 $209M -$40.5M $37.4M $95.9M
2023 $222M -$36.7M $41.7M $137M
2024 $247M -$25.9M $45.8M $161M
2025 $292M $1.4M $51.6M $215M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $74.0M -$4.9M
Dec 2025 $73.9M $19.8M
Mar 2026 $79.0M $5.7M
Jun 2026 $74.8M -$4.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership59.0%
Institutional Ownership2.3%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.30%
Number of Funds Holding26

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.46Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.71Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.50 resistance 2.30x 8 months ago
$14.60 resistance 2.48x 10 months ago
$20.80 resistance 2.26x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (27 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.33% 0.00% 48.15% 6.42% -6.99%
1 Day -1.26% -1.24% 29.63% 13.33% -14.03%
1 Week -2.63% -0.40% 48.15% 28.34% -40.00%
2 Weeks -6.49% -5.14% 33.33% 30.48% -41.25%
1 Month -3.08% -4.13% 46.15% 58.69% -43.13%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.22% 42.3% 312
Tuesday -0.47% 42.9% 345
Wednesday -0.18% 44.3% 343
Thursday 0.00% 43.8% 336
Friday 0.56% 48.9% 333

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 59.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change8,386
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Zayas Orlando -$20,864 1 1 sell
THOMPSON JANE J. -$8,248 1 1 sell
HHCF Series 21 Sub, LLC -$5.48 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-13 Zayas Orlando -$20,864 Transaction at $8.00, now -27.2%
2026-08-13 HHCF Series 21 Sub, LLC +N/A N/A
2026-08-12 HHCF Series 21 Sub, LLC -$5.48 Transaction at $3.19, now +82.7%
2025-10-09 THOMPSON JANE J. -$8,248 Transaction at $10.31, now -43.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Katapult Holdings Inc (KPLT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KPLT on Trend Edge →