EBAY — eBay Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EBAY Bullish with a Setup Score of 30, net conviction 22, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score30
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction22
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About eBay Inc

eBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally. Its marketplace platform includes its online marketplace at ebay.com, off-platform businesses, and the eBay suite of mobile apps. The company's platforms enable users to list, sell, buy, and pay various products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$102.27
Market Cap$46.55B
Float399.8M
Shares Outstanding445.0M
P/E (Forward)16.61
P/E (TTM)21.57
Price/Sales (TTM)3.88
vs. Analyst Target+13.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.57%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.57%
Revenue (TTM)$12.01B
Earnings Growth (YoY)55.00%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$116.15 (33 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.89B $5.67B $7.10B $4.23B
2021 $10.42B $13.61B $7.77B $1.17B
2022 $9.79B -$1.27B $7.12B -$924M
2023 $10.11B $2.77B $7.28B $4.37B
2024 $10.28B $1.98B $7.40B $2.86B
2025 $11.10B $2.03B $7.93B $2.85B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.82B $632M
Dec 2025 $2.96B $528M
Mar 2026 $3.09B $512M
Jun 2026 $3.13B $550M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.0%
Institutional Ownership95.9%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding14.50%
Number of Funds Holding1,275

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$109.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$98.83Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$89.17Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$65.63Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$98.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$87.71Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$69.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$75.00 support 1.12x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.46% 0.65% 54.46% 38.09% -16.54%
1 Day 0.09% 0.01% 50.00% 37.41% -19.14%
1 Week -0.34% -0.83% 46.43% 25.97% -19.75%
2 Weeks 0.29% -0.77% 46.43% 78.37% -27.72%
1 Month 2.73% 1.40% 55.86% 197.12% -44.81%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.1%57.1%28
Feb1.3%50.0%28
Mar3.1%57.1%28
Apr5.1%57.1%28
May1.0%53.6%28
Jun-0.4%46.4%28
Jul2.3%60.7%28
Aug3.7%59.3%27
Sep0.0%55.6%27
Oct1.3%39.3%28
Nov7.4%64.3%28
Dec0.3%42.9%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 48.4% 1319
Tuesday 0.08% 51.7% 1441
Wednesday 0.11% 50.1% 1441
Thursday 0.19% 52.4% 1413
Friday 0.08% 51.9% 1406

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings37
Net Value-$50.2M
Net Shares Change-417,730
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings37
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Boone Cornelius SVP, Chief People Officer -$7.9M 3 1 sell
Sweetnam Jordan Douglas Bradley SVP, Chief Commercial Officer -$2.4M 2 N/A
Rawashdeh Mazen SVP, Chief Technology Officer -$2.2M 1 N/A
Loeger Julie A SVP, Chief Growth Officer -$1.6M 2 2 sell
SPENCER REBECCA VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$722,781.738 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-08 – 2025-09-19 4 3 -$2.1M 4 C-suite
2025-12-19 – 2025-12-19 3 3 -$603,313.001 3 C-suite
2026-02-20 – 2026-03-04 4 4 -$5.3M 4 C-suite
2026-03-13 – 2026-03-19 4 4 -$6.3M 4 C-suite
2026-05-27 – 2026-06-08 3 3 -$11.7M 3 C-suite
2026-08-07 – 2026-08-20 3 3 -$3.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 SPENCER REBECCA VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$559,431.138 Transaction at $107.79, now -5.1%
2026-03-13 Loeger Julie A SVP, Chief Growth Officer -$1.4M Transaction at $90.88, now +12.5%
2026-02-26 Boone Cornelius SVP, Chief People Officer -$2.9M Transaction at $85.26, now +20.0%
2026-02-24 SPENCER REBECCA VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$163,350.6 Transaction at $87.40, now +17.0%
2026-06-08 Boone Cornelius SVP, Chief People Officer -$3.4M Transaction at $109.69, now -6.8%
2025-12-15 Loeger Julie A SVP, Chief Growth Officer -$238,746.24 Transaction at $82.44, now +24.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for eBay Inc (EBAY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EBAY on Trend Edge →