IPGP — IPG Photonics Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates IPGP Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 23, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction23
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About IPG Photonics Corporation

IPG Photonics Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, diode lasers, and laser-based systems used in materials processing, medical, and advanced applications. The company offers laser products, including hybrid fiber-solid state lasers with green and ultraviolet wavelengths; fiber pigtailed packaged diodes and fiber coupled direct diode laser systems; and high-energy pulsed lasers, multi-wavelength and tunable… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$70.74
Market Cap$3.17B
Float26.2M
Shares Outstanding42.5M
P/E (Forward)46.95
P/E (TTM)118.14
Price/Sales (TTM)2.96
vs. Analyst Target+78.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.60%
Revenue (TTM)$1.07B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-22.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$126.21 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.20B $160M $539M $326M
2021 $1.46B $278M $696M $449M
2022 $1.43B $110M $555M $322M
2023 $1.29B $219M $542M $301M
2024 $977M -$182M $338M $75.9M
2025 $1.00B $31.1M $381M $112M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $251M $7.5M
Dec 2025 $274M $13.3M
Mar 2026 $265M $1.6M
Jun 2026 $279M $5.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership39.1%
Institutional Ownership75.3%
Short Float13.3%
% of All Funds Holding4.08%
Number of Funds Holding359

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$92.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$102.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$87.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$91.96Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$99.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$85.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$89.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$130.00 resistance 1.50x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (79 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.23% 0.02% 50.63% 7.14% -2.93%
1 Day 0.72% 0.76% 59.49% 12.22% -7.37%
1 Week 0.14% 0.19% 51.90% 19.36% -18.71%
2 Weeks -0.23% 0.87% 50.63% 33.10% -21.73%
1 Month 0.99% 1.61% 55.13% 30.78% -28.24%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.3%45.0%20
Feb4.8%50.0%20
Mar-2.4%35.0%20
Apr2.0%45.0%20
May2.8%50.0%20
Jun0.5%55.0%20
Jul-1.3%50.0%20
Aug0.3%47.4%19
Sep-0.5%47.4%19
Oct1.6%57.9%19
Nov4.3%68.4%19
Dec1.0%57.9%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 51.0% 928
Tuesday 0.14% 51.7% 1017
Wednesday 0.08% 51.3% 1016
Thursday 0.05% 50.3% 998
Friday 0.05% 52.9% 992

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 39.1%

Founder-led management: Igor Samartsev (Senior Vice President, Chief Scientist)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings42
Net Value-$2.4M
Net Shares Change-1,011,851
% of Float-3.9%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected9

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Valentin Gapontsev Trust I -$5.4M 1 1 sell
Mammen Timothy PV SVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Agnes Tang -$322,441.212 2 N/A
SCHERBAKOV EUGENE A -$286,750.658 2 N/A
Ness Trevor SVP, Sales & Strategic Bus Dev -$277,845.254 2 2 sell
Desmond Jeanmarie F. -$178,430.2 1 1 sell
Buttarazzi Mary E. VP, Corp Controller and CAO -$58,110 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-16 – 2025-09-24 4 4 -$11.0M 1 C-suite
2025-10-06 – 2025-10-15 3 3 -$5.7M 1 C-suite
2025-10-21 – 2025-10-29 4 4 -$6.1M 2 C-suite
2025-11-07 – 2025-11-19 3 3 -$5.2M 1 C-suite
2025-11-25 – 2025-11-25 3 3 -$5.2M
2026-01-14 – 2026-01-23 5 4 -$10.6M 1 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-02-24 3 3 -$17.6M
2026-06-23 – 2026-07-01 4 4 -$7.3M 1 C-suite
2026-07-22 – 2026-08-05 4 3 -$11.1M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-26 Mammen Timothy PV SVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.2M Transaction at $119.81, now -41.0%
2026-05-15 Desmond Jeanmarie F. -$178,430.2 Transaction at $105.58, now -33.0%
2026-03-17 Buttarazzi Mary E. VP, Corp Controller and CAO -$58,110 Transaction at $116.22, now -39.1%
2025-09-19 Ness Trevor SVP, Sales & Strategic Bus Dev -$138,673.612 Transaction at $82.64, now -14.4%
2025-08-28 Ness Trevor SVP, Sales & Strategic Bus Dev -$139,171.642 Transaction at $82.94, now -14.7%
2026-06-23 Agnes Tang -$178,077.847 Transaction at $117.85, now -40.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IPGP on Trend Edge →