IOT — Samsara Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Samsara Inc

Samsara Inc. provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Platform includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and a growing ecosystem of connected assets and third-party systems, and which has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and da… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.15
Market Cap$17.57B
Float358.5M
Shares Outstanding371.0M
P/E (Forward)44.25
Price/Sales (TTM)10.85
vs. Analyst Target+41.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.03%
Revenue (TTM)$1.62B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$44.17 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $250M -$210M $175M -$173M
2022 $428M -$355M $304M -$304M
2023 $653M -$247M $470M -$167M
2024 $937M -$287M $690M -$171M
2025 $1.25B -$155M $951M -$164M
2026 $1.62B -$9.1M $1.24B -$28.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $367M -$22.1M
Jul 2025 $391M -$16.8M
Oct 2025 $416M $7.8M
Jan 2026 $444M $22.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.9%
Institutional Ownership103.6%
Short Float10.0%
% of All Funds Holding6.07%
Number of Funds Holding499

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$34.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$38.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.56Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$39.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$34.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$28.00 support 1.41x 1 months ago
$35.90 resistance 1.26x 3 months ago
$46.00 resistance 2.08x 10 months ago
$48.00 resistance 1.52x 13 months ago
$54.00 resistance 1.16x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (19 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 5.00% 2.97% 63.16% 20.73% -9.52%
1 Day 6.47% 11.08% 63.16% 27.88% -15.57%
1 Week 5.96% 5.41% 66.67% 52.45% -19.48%
2 Weeks 5.99% 4.15% 55.56% 52.03% -19.61%
1 Month 0.30% 1.53% 50.00% 39.30% -20.59%

Next earnings: June 4, 2026 (8 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 51.5% 206
Tuesday 0.15% 51.1% 229
Wednesday 0.05% 49.8% 227
Thursday -0.43% 45.9% 222
Friday 0.71% 53.1% 224

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.9%

Founder-led management: Sanjit Biswas (Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman), John Bicket (Co-Founder, Executive VP, CTO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings102
Net Value-$333M
Net Shares Change-150,692,951
% of Float-42.0%
C-Suite Filings90
Clusters Detected17

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Biswas Sanjit CHIEF EXECUTVE OFFICER -$22.3M 3 N/A
Bicket John Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer -$15.1M 2 N/A
Phillips Dominic Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer -$2.3M 2 2 sell
Eltoukhy Adam Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Kirchhoff Benjamin Louis CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER -$71,508.626 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-05 – 2025-06-18 12 9 -$86.4M 7 C-suite
2025-06-26 – 2025-07-10 6 4 -$27.0M 6 C-suite
2025-07-23 – 2025-08-04 4 4 -$13.6M 4 C-suite
2025-08-07 – 2025-08-21 5 3 -$23.0M 5 C-suite
2025-09-04 – 2025-09-17 13 10 -$139M 8 C-suite
2025-09-23 – 2025-10-02 5 5 -$13.9M 5 C-suite
2025-10-09 – 2025-10-23 5 3 -$25.6M 5 C-suite
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-06 3 3 -$13.6M 3 C-suite
2025-11-20 – 2025-12-03 5 3 -$24.7M 5 C-suite
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-19 8 5 -$17.1M 8 C-suite
2025-12-23 – 2026-01-05 6 6 -$13.2M 5 C-suite
2026-01-08 – 2026-01-22 6 4 -$35.5M 6 C-suite
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-19 5 3 -$27.0M 5 C-suite
2026-03-17 – 2026-03-23 3 3 -$580,700.346 2 C-suite
2026-04-02 – 2026-04-16 6 4 -$31.7M 6 C-suite
2026-04-21 – 2026-05-04 4 4 -$16.1M 4 C-suite
2026-05-14 – 2026-05-21 4 4 -$15.1M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Biswas Sanjit CHIEF EXECUTVE OFFICER -$7.4M Transaction at $28.18, now +10.5%
2026-05-14 Bicket John Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer -$7.4M Transaction at $28.18, now +10.5%
2026-04-30 Biswas Sanjit CHIEF EXECUTVE OFFICER -$7.7M Transaction at $29.07, now +7.1%
2026-04-30 Bicket John Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer -$7.7M Transaction at $29.07, now +7.2%
2025-12-16 Phillips Dominic Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer -$2.0M Transaction at $40.72, now -23.5%
2025-12-16 Eltoukhy Adam Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary -$771,645.842 Transaction at $40.72, now -23.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Samsara Inc (IOT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IOT on Trend Edge →