Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates IOT Bullish with a Setup Score of 27, net conviction 31, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 27 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bullish |
| Net Conviction | 31 |
| Actionability | 24 (in range) |
Samsara Inc. provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Platform includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and a growing ecosystem of connected assets and third-party systems, and which has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and da… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $39.14 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $22.92B |
| Float | 358.7M |
| Shares Outstanding | 372.8M |
| P/E (Forward) | 55.25 |
| P/E (TTM) | 389.80 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 13.10 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +15.5% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | 3.32% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 1.50% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.73B |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $45.22 (21 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $250M | -$210M | $175M | -$173M |
| 2022 | $428M | -$355M | $304M | -$304M |
| 2023 | $653M | -$247M | $470M | -$167M |
| 2024 | $937M | -$287M | $690M | -$171M |
| 2025 | $1.25B | -$155M | $951M | -$164M |
| 2026 | $1.62B | -$9.1M | $1.24B | $25.0M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | $391M | -$16.8M |
| Oct 2025 | $416M | $7.8M |
| Jan 2026 | $444M | $22.0M |
| Apr 2026 | $479M | $44.5M |
| Insider Ownership | 3.9% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 110.0% |
| Short Float | 10.0% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 6.17% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 543 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $37.22 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $33.68 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $36.61 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $33.28 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $33.47 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $37.49 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $36.00 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $28.00 | support | 1.41x | 4 months ago |
| $46.00 | resistance | 2.08x | 13 months ago |
| $48.00 | resistance | 1.52x | 16 months ago |
| $54.00 | resistance | 1.16x | 19 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 5.16% | 4.03% | 63.16% | 20.73% | -9.52% |
| 1 Day | 6.23% | 11.08% | 57.89% | 27.88% | -15.57% |
| 1 Week | 5.42% | 4.07% | 63.16% | 52.45% | -19.48% |
| 2 Weeks | 5.07% | 0.33% | 52.63% | 52.03% | -19.61% |
| 1 Month | 0.30% | 1.53% | 50.00% | 39.30% | -20.59% |
Next earnings: September 3, 2026 (8 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.11% | 51.6% | 219 |
| Tuesday | 0.14% | 51.9% | 243 |
| Wednesday | -0.03% | 48.5% | 241 |
| Thursday | -0.43% | 45.8% | 236 |
| Friday | 0.85% | 54.2% | 236 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 110.0%
Total insider ownership: 3.9%
Founder-led management: Sanjit Biswas (Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman), John Bicket (Co-Founder, Executive VP, CTO & Director)
| Total Filings | 99 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$350M |
| Net Shares Change | -53,033,095 |
| % of Float | -14.8% |
| C-Suite Filings | 89 |
| Clusters Detected | 17 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreessen Marc L | -$75.6M | 2 | 2 sell | |
| Bicket John | Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer | -$8.1M | 1 | N/A |
| Phillips Dominic | Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer | -$3.8M | 2 | 2 sell |
| Eltoukhy Adam | Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary | -$2.3M | 4 | 4 sell |
| Kirchhoff Benjamin Louis | CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER | -$184,839.51 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-04 – 2025-09-17 | 13 | 10 | -$139M | 8 C-suite |
| 2025-09-23 – 2025-10-02 | 5 | 5 | -$13.9M | 5 C-suite |
| 2025-10-09 – 2025-10-23 | 5 | 3 | -$25.6M | 5 C-suite |
| 2025-11-04 – 2025-11-06 | 3 | 3 | -$13.6M | 3 C-suite |
| 2025-11-20 – 2025-12-03 | 5 | 3 | -$24.7M | 5 C-suite |
| 2025-12-08 – 2025-12-19 | 8 | 5 | -$17.1M | 8 C-suite |
| 2025-12-23 – 2026-01-05 | 6 | 6 | -$13.2M | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-01-08 – 2026-01-22 | 6 | 4 | -$35.5M | 6 C-suite |
| 2026-02-05 – 2026-02-19 | 5 | 3 | -$27.0M | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-03-17 – 2026-03-23 | 3 | 3 | -$580,700.346 | 2 C-suite |
| 2026-04-02 – 2026-04-16 | 6 | 4 | -$31.7M | 6 C-suite |
| 2026-04-21 – 2026-05-04 | 4 | 4 | -$16.1M | 4 C-suite |
| 2026-05-14 – 2026-05-28 | 6 | 4 | -$31.3M | 6 C-suite |
| 2026-06-09 – 2026-06-23 | 6 | 5 | -$76.8M | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-06-30 – 2026-07-09 | 5 | 4 | -$20.5M | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-07-16 – 2026-07-29 | 5 | 4 | -$19.5M | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-08-05 – 2026-08-19 | 4 | 4 | -$21.5M | 4 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Andreessen Marc L | -$36.6M | Transaction at $32.90, now +19.0% | |
| 2026-06-10 | Andreessen Marc L | -$39.0M | Transaction at $34.11, now +14.8% | |
| 2026-05-28 | Bicket John | Executive Vice President, Chief Technology Officer | -$8.1M | Transaction at $30.59, now +28.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | Phillips Dominic | Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer | -$2.0M | Transaction at $40.72, now -3.9% |
| 2025-09-17 | Phillips Dominic | Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer | -$1.8M | Transaction at $39.15, now -0.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | Eltoukhy Adam | Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary | -$771,645.842 | Transaction at $40.72, now -3.9% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Samsara Inc (IOT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for IOT on Trend Edge →