ICE — Intercontinental Exchange Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ICE Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 22, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction22
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Intercontinental Exchange Inc

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$135.26
Market Cap$76.41B
Float561.7M
Shares Outstanding565.5M
P/E (Forward)19.88
P/E (TTM)19.96
Price/Sales (TTM)7.32
vs. Analyst Target+38.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin37.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)57.31%
Revenue (TTM)$10.44B
Earnings Growth (YoY)79.70%
Dividend Rate2.1%
Analyst Target Price$186.87 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.24B $2.09B $4.30B $3.87B
2021 $9.17B $4.06B $5.02B $7.13B
2022 $9.64B $1.45B $5.20B $3.46B
2023 $9.90B $2.37B $5.66B $4.92B
2024 $11.76B $2.75B $6.52B $6.08B
2025 $12.64B $3.30B $7.82B $6.64B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.26B $851M
Sep 2025 $3.01B $816M
Dec 2025 $3.14B $840M
Mar 2026 $3.67B $1.41B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership96.2%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding19.63%
Number of Funds Holding1,613

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$141.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$155.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$163.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$139.64Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$152.50Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$162.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$146.36Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$148.00 resistance 1.46x 0 months ago
$174.00 resistance 1.43x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (83 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.17% 0.03% 51.81% 4.21% -4.60%
1 Day 0.35% 0.03% 50.60% 9.22% -5.28%
1 Week 1.32% 1.41% 63.86% 21.44% -9.51%
2 Weeks 1.35% 1.20% 59.04% 34.55% -18.55%
1 Month 2.29% 1.24% 63.41% 37.47% -23.81%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%57.1%21
Feb3.2%57.1%21
Mar1.5%42.9%21
Apr2.4%61.9%21
May0.5%47.6%21
Jun-0.1%61.9%21
Jul0.3%75.0%20
Aug0.2%45.0%20
Sep-0.0%45.0%20
Oct4.0%70.0%20
Nov3.5%70.0%20
Dec3.0%57.1%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 50.1% 972
Tuesday 0.05% 48.3% 1065
Wednesday 0.07% 51.6% 1065
Thursday 0.23% 54.4% 1045
Friday 0.17% 52.9% 1040

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

Founder-led management: Jeffrey Sprecher (Chair & Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings34
Net Value-$115M
Net Shares Change-659,018
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sprecher Jeffrey C Chief Executive Officer -$40.9M 1 N/A
Kapani Mayur Chief Technology Officer -$2.2M 1 N/A
Martin Lynn C President, NYSE Group -$2.1M 1 N/A
Edmonds Christopher Scott President, Fixed Income & Data -$1.7M 1 N/A
Jackson Benjamin President -$1.6M 1 N/A
SPRIESER JUDITH A -$798,899.125 1 N/A
Surdykowski Andrew J General Counsel -$574,727.755 1 N/A
Gardiner Warren Chief Financial Officer -$390,033.6 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-14 – 2025-08-28 4 4 -$36.8M 3 C-suite
2025-08-29 – 2025-09-12 3 3 -$1.2M 1 C-suite
2025-11-13 – 2025-11-24 4 3 -$23.7M 4 C-suite
2025-12-09 – 2025-12-16 3 3 -$1.4M 2 C-suite
2026-02-09 – 2026-02-23 7 6 -$48.2M 6 C-suite
2026-02-24 – 2026-03-03 3 3 -$3.3M 3 C-suite
2026-05-18 – 2026-05-28 4 4 -$1.4M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-24 Martin Lynn C President, NYSE Group -$2.1M Transaction at $153.86, now -12.1%
2026-02-23 Edmonds Christopher Scott President, Fixed Income & Data -$1.7M Transaction at $153.82, now -12.1%
2026-02-19 Kapani Mayur Chief Technology Officer -$2.2M Transaction at $121.54, now +11.3%
2026-06-16 Hague William Jefferson -$185,900.18 Transaction at $139.46, now -3.0%
2026-05-28 Surdykowski Andrew J General Counsel -$574,727.755 Transaction at $104.43, now +29.5%
2026-05-20 Gardiner Warren Chief Financial Officer -$390,033.6 Transaction at $156.64, now -13.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ICE on Trend Edge →