CME — CME Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About CME Group Inc

CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$282.54
Market Cap$104.53B
Float357.3M
Shares Outstanding361.3M
P/E (Forward)23.70
P/E (TTM)24.68
Price/Sales (TTM)15.50
vs. Analyst Target+8.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin63.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)69.81%
Revenue (TTM)$6.74B
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.30%
Dividend Rate5.2%
Analyst Target Price$306.47 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.88B $2.11B $4.03B $3.35B
2021 $4.69B $2.64B $3.85B $3.93B
2022 $5.02B $2.69B $4.27B $4.02B
2023 $5.58B $3.23B $4.75B $4.67B
2024 $6.13B $3.53B $5.28B $5.04B
2025 $6.52B $4.04B $5.61B $5.72B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.69B $1.01B
Sep 2025 $1.54B $908M
Dec 2025 $1.65B $1.17B
Mar 2026 $1.88B $1.15B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership92.5%
Short Float1.1%
% of All Funds Holding20.28%
Number of Funds Holding1,667

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$291.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$283.26Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$271.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$227.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$283.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$270.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$236.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$322.00 resistance 1.12x 1 months ago
$264.00 support 1.42x 12 months ago
$254.00 support 1.39x 13 months ago
$209.00 support 1.13x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (94 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.00% 46.81% 3.02% -3.79%
1 Day -0.13% 0.11% 51.06% 6.65% -17.59%
1 Week 0.62% 0.40% 54.26% 13.56% -9.14%
2 Weeks 1.24% 1.16% 62.77% 19.83% -15.02%
1 Month 1.69% 1.99% 63.44% 23.52% -34.87%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%45.8%24
Feb3.1%75.0%24
Mar0.9%50.0%24
Apr0.0%33.3%24
May4.0%65.2%23
Jun2.5%56.5%23
Jul-0.8%43.5%23
Aug0.4%52.2%23
Sep2.7%56.5%23
Oct2.0%60.9%23
Nov2.5%65.2%23
Dec0.5%43.5%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 50.0% 1106
Tuesday 0.04% 48.6% 1213
Wednesday 0.05% 51.8% 1211
Thursday 0.14% 56.2% 1188
Friday 0.18% 55.6% 1183

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$28.5M
Net Shares Change-98,424
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DUFFY TERRENCE A Chairman and CEO -$17.2M 2 2 sell
Sammann Derek Sr MD Gl Hd Commodities Mkts -$2.0M 1 1 sell
Piell Hilda Harris Sr MD and Chief HR Officer -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Vroman Ken Chief Transformation Officer -$1.6M 1 1 sell
SHEPARD WILLIAM R +$655,117.001 4 8 buy
Cook Elizabeth A -$320,000 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-17 – 2025-09-26 4 3 -$564,461.638 3 C-suite
2026-02-09 – 2026-02-23 3 3 -$1.6M
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-23 4 3 -$4.0M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 SHEPARD WILLIAM R +$437,101.019 Transaction at $297.38, now -5.0%
2026-05-18 DUFFY TERRENCE A Chairman and CEO -$10.4M Transaction at $298.51, now -5.4%
2026-05-19 Piell Hilda Harris Sr MD and Chief HR Officer -$1.8M Transaction at $304.63, now -7.3%
2026-01-02 SHEPARD WILLIAM R +$73,008.1 Transaction at $278.37, now +1.5%
2026-03-12 Vroman Ken Chief Transformation Officer -$1.6M Transaction at $309.00, now -8.6%
2025-09-26 SHEPARD WILLIAM R +$72,671.677 Transaction at $265.20, now +6.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CME Group Inc (CME) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CME on Trend Edge →