HXL — Hexcel Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HXL Bullish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 59, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction59
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Hexcel Corporation

Hexcel Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets advanced lightweight composites technology. It operates through two segments, Composite Materials and Engineered Products. The company offers carbon fiber, reinforcements, prepregs and other fiber-reinforced matrix materials, honeycomb, resins, engineered core and composite structures for use in commercial aerospace, defense and space, and industrial applications. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$93.63
Market Cap$7.12B
Float74.8M
Shares Outstanding75.6M
P/E (Forward)44.64
P/E (TTM)49.53
Price/Sales (TTM)3.60
vs. Analyst Target+17.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.90%
Revenue (TTM)$1.98B
Earnings Growth (YoY)280.20%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$109.92 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.50B $31.7M $240M $155M
2021 $1.32B $16.1M $250M $198M
2022 $1.58B $126M $357M $312M
2023 $1.79B $106M $433M $215M
2024 $1.90B $132M $470M $360M
2025 $1.89B $109M $435M $295M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $456M $20.6M
Dec 2025 $491M $46.4M
Mar 2026 $495M $37.2M
Jun 2026 $529M $49.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership115.6%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.97%
Number of Funds Holding525

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$100.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$88.82Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$74.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$69.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$88.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$74.26Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$70.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$82.00 support 1.04x 3 months ago
$75.00 support 1.12x 6 months ago
$63.00 support 1.12x 9 months ago
$49.00 support 1.10x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.00% 45.53% 9.09% -22.25%
1 Day 0.99% 0.42% 53.66% 28.57% -21.23%
1 Week 1.28% 1.24% 56.10% 24.77% -34.53%
2 Weeks 2.00% 1.71% 54.47% 39.85% -46.04%
1 Month 2.66% 1.78% 54.92% 59.10% -46.29%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.8%54.3%46
Feb2.4%58.7%46
Mar-0.7%47.8%46
Apr6.4%63.8%47
May3.2%59.6%47
Jun1.2%51.1%47
Jul2.7%59.6%47
Aug2.5%58.7%46
Sep-4.4%41.3%46
Oct-2.6%41.3%46
Nov2.3%60.9%46
Dec-0.5%34.8%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 43.9% 2213
Tuesday 0.11% 46.1% 2401
Wednesday 0.07% 44.8% 2399
Thursday 0.07% 46.7% 2353
Friday 0.09% 46.5% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 115.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$1.2M
Net Shares Change-5,911
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Fitzsimons Gina EVP Chief HR & Communications Officer -$577,909.165 2 1 sell
Merlot Thierry President, Aerospace - Europe, MEA and Asia Pacific and Industrial -$343,053.55 1 N/A
Evans Amy S Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer -$139,200 1 1 sell
Winterlich Patrick EVP, CFO -$107,953.19 1 1 sell
Smith Lyndon John President, Americas & Global Fibers -$65,030.87 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-17 Fitzsimons Gina EVP Chief HR & Communications Officer -$518,694.165 Transaction at $76.33, now +22.7%
2026-03-02 Evans Amy S Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer -$139,200 Transaction at $92.80, now +0.9%
2025-10-30 Winterlich Patrick EVP, CFO -$107,953.19 Transaction at $57.53, now +62.8%
2025-10-29 Smith Lyndon John President, Americas & Global Fibers -$65,030.87 Transaction at $57.36, now +63.2%
2025-09-02 Merlot Thierry President, Aerospace - Europe, MEA and Asia Pacific and Industrial -$343,053.55 Transaction at $52.78, now +77.4%
2025-09-03 Fitzsimons Gina Executive Vice President, Chief HR and Communications Officer -$59,215 Transaction at $65.00, now +44.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hexcel Corporation (HXL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HXL on Trend Edge →