HWM — Howmet Aerospace Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HWM Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 54, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction54
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Howmet Aerospace Inc

Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines an… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$264.04
Market Cap$109.13B
Float395.2M
Shares Outstanding398.8M
P/E (Forward)54.64
P/E (TTM)60.94
Price/Sales (TTM)11.97
vs. Analyst Target+27.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.52%
Operating Margin (TTM)28.50%
Revenue (TTM)$9.12B
Earnings Growth (YoY)33.00%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$336.63 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.26B $211M $1.14B $831M
2021 $4.97B $258M $1.13B $853M
2022 $5.66B $469M $1.35B $1.10B
2023 $6.64B $765M $1.61B $1.47B
2024 $7.43B $1.16B $2.05B $1.84B
2025 $8.25B $1.51B $2.54B $2.27B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.09B $385M
Dec 2025 $2.17B $372M
Mar 2026 $2.31B $580M
Jun 2026 $2.55B $534M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership93.6%
Short Float1.7%
% of All Funds Holding18.12%
Number of Funds Holding1,594

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$276.09Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$246.26Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$207.29Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$122.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$242.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$203.53Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$137.53Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$207.00 support 1.03x 5 months ago
$171.00 support 1.35x 13 months ago
$147.00 support 1.16x 14 months ago
$79.00 support 1.12x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.50% 0.55% 66.67% 6.85% -1.81%
1 Day 1.03% 1.79% 53.85% 10.93% -6.80%
1 Week 1.75% 2.42% 61.54% 19.79% -11.23%
2 Weeks 2.90% 2.30% 69.23% 28.17% -7.01%
1 Month 3.01% 1.73% 63.16% 21.54% -11.72%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.0%70.0%10
Feb9.0%70.0%10
Mar-5.6%50.0%10
Apr0.8%60.0%10
May7.0%80.0%10
Jun2.4%50.0%10
Jul6.8%60.0%10
Aug1.6%55.6%9
Sep-1.4%33.3%9
Oct1.3%55.6%9
Nov10.0%66.7%9
Dec2.0%60.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 55.5% 461
Tuesday 0.24% 57.2% 507
Wednesday 0.25% 53.3% 505
Thursday 0.03% 50.8% 496
Friday 0.15% 54.3% 495

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 93.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$30.1M
Net Shares Change-112,852
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Marchuk Neil Edward EVP, CAO -$29.8M 2 2 sell
Shultz Barbara Lou Vice President and Controller -$260,005 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Marchuk Neil Edward EVP, CAO -$11.3M Transaction at $269.50, now -2.0%
2026-02-27 Shultz Barbara Lou Vice President and Controller -$260,005 Transaction at $260.00, now +1.6%
2026-02-18 Marchuk Neil Edward EVP, CAO -$18.5M Transaction at $250.96, now +5.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HWM on Trend Edge →