HOVR — New Horizon Aircraft Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HOVR Bullish with a Setup Score of 28, net conviction 40, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score28
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction40
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About New Horizon Aircraft Ltd

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd., an aerospace original equipment manufacturer company, engages in designing and building hybrid-electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for the regional air mobility market in the United States. It also designs and delivers Cavorite X7, a hybrid electric 7-seat aircraft that can take off and land vertically. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Lindsay, Canada.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.83
Market Cap$123M
Float54.1M
Shares Outstanding66.8M
vs. Analyst Target+365.5% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.52 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 N/A -$1.7M -$613,386 -$1.6M
2022 N/A -$1.2M -$435,959 -$1.2M
2023 N/A -$6.0M N/A -$7.8M
2024 N/A -$8.2M N/A -$7.9M
2025 N/A $5.2M N/A $5.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$10.9M
Dec 2025 N/A -$8.7M
Mar 2026 N/A -$6.9M
Jun 2026 N/A -$6.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.6%
Institutional Ownership6.9%
Short Float5.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.36%
Number of Funds Holding32

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.18Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.80 resistance 1.23x 1 months ago
$1.10 support 1.58x 13 months ago
$0.30 support 6.05x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (17 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.56% 0.00% 47.06% 7.55% -6.40%
1 Day 1.68% 0.09% 52.94% 27.87% -9.74%
1 Week 20.19% 8.16% 76.47% 128.00% -23.46%
2 Weeks 18.50% 0.28% 64.71% 144.00% -71.51%
1 Month 14.29% 0.48% 62.50% 181.25% -80.77%

Next earnings: October 9, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.21% 40.6% 160
Tuesday -0.72% 36.9% 176
Wednesday 0.53% 42.5% 174
Thursday 0.67% 47.9% 169
Friday 0.54% 44.7% 170

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 6.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.6%

Founder-led management: Eric Brandon Robinson (Co-founder, Chairman & CEO), Brian E. Robinson (Founder & Chief Engineer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$1.8M
Net Shares Change-566,000
% of Float-1.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Robinson Eric Brandon Chief Executive Officer -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Lee Stewart Murray Head of People and Strategy -$372,000 1 1 sell
Merker Brian Frederick Chief Executive Officer -$184,000 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-03 – 2025-10-16 4 3 -$1.8M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-16 Robinson Eric Brandon Chief Executive Officer -$879,312 Transaction at $3.66, now -50.1%
2025-10-16 Merker Brian Frederick Chief Executive Officer -$184,000 Transaction at $4.00, now -54.2%
2025-10-16 Lee Stewart Murray Head of People and Strategy -$372,000 Transaction at $3.72, now -50.8%
2025-10-03 Robinson Eric Brandon Chief Executive Officer -$402,210 Transaction at $2.23, now -18.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for New Horizon Aircraft Ltd (HOVR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HOVR on Trend Edge →