HLLY — Holley Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Holley Inc

Holley Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes automotive aftermarket products to car and truck enthusiasts in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Its performance automotive products include carburetors, fuel pumps, fuel injection systems, nitrous oxide injection systems, superchargers, exhaust headers, mufflers, distributors, ignition components, engine tuners, and automotive performance plumbing products; and exhaust products, as well as… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.78
Market Cap$302M
Float80.5M
Shares Outstanding120.4M
P/E (Forward)6.73
P/E (TTM)12.53
Price/Sales (TTM)0.50
vs. Analyst Target+67.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.48%
Revenue (TTM)$608M
Earnings Growth (YoY)200.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.67 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $504M $32.9M $208M $104M
2021 $693M -$27.1M $287M $152M
2022 $688M $73.8M $254M $149M
2023 $660M $19.2M $256M $122M
2024 $602M -$23.2M $247M $107M
2025 $614M $19.2M $252M $111M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $167M $10.9M
Sep 2025 $138M -$806,000
Dec 2025 $155M $6.3M
Mar 2026 $147M $7.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.5%
Institutional Ownership88.5%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.59%
Number of Funds Holding131

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.97Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.51Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.55Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.03Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.51Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.90 resistance 1.36x 1 months ago
$2.10 support 1.60x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.33% 0.76% 63.64% 5.25% -22.51%
1 Day -2.40% -0.65% 40.91% 12.87% -30.99%
1 Week -3.13% -5.40% 36.36% 35.07% -34.21%
2 Weeks -2.67% -2.70% 45.45% 35.45% -35.67%
1 Month -3.30% -2.21% 42.86% 36.94% -33.11%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.23% 48.0% 256
Tuesday -0.14% 45.6% 285
Wednesday -0.57% 40.3% 283
Thursday 0.29% 47.1% 276
Friday 0.18% 47.1% 276

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-16,100,000
% of Float-20.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LOBEL DAVID S -$42.3M 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-12 LOBEL DAVID S -$36.8M Transaction at $2.63, now +5.7%
2025-09-19 LOBEL DAVID S -$5.5M Transaction at $2.63, now +5.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Holley Inc (HLLY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HLLY on Trend Edge →