HLI — Houlihan Lokey Inc

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HLI Bearish with a Setup Score of 53, net conviction 23, actionability 122. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score53
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction23
Actionability122 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Houlihan Lokey Inc

Houlihan Lokey, Inc., an investment banking company, provides merger and acquisition (M&A), capital market, financial restructurings and liability management, and financial and valuation advisory services worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Corporate Finance (CF), Financial Restructuring (FR), and Financial and Valuation Advisory (FVA). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$128.95
Market Cap$8.95B
Float54.0M
Shares Outstanding54.2M
P/E (Forward)15.04
P/E (TTM)21.89
Price/Sales (TTM)3.55
vs. Analyst Target+19.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.40%
Revenue (TTM)$2.52B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-19.00%
Dividend Rate2.8%
Analyst Target Price$153.50 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.53B $313M $554M $423M
2022 $2.27B $438M $861M $661M
2023 $1.81B $254M $697M $435M
2024 $1.91B $280M $737M $428M
2025 $2.39B $400M $920M $598M
2026 $2.62B $426M $2.57B $605M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $659M $112M
Dec 2025 $717M $117M
Mar 2026 $636M $99.8M
Jun 2026 $511M $78.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership105.5%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.84%
Number of Funds Holding514

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$133.54Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$153.70Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$166.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$140.96Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$151.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$165.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$147.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$134.00 resistance 1.76x 0 months ago
$154.00 resistance 1.56x 2 months ago
$159.00 resistance 1.46x 4 months ago
$204.00 resistance 1.31x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.32% -0.01% 47.73% 7.78% -5.52%
1 Day -0.25% -0.54% 36.36% 6.22% -6.49%
1 Week 0.33% 0.55% 54.55% 8.37% -10.50%
2 Weeks 0.75% 1.47% 61.36% 12.96% -10.36%
1 Month 0.52% 0.80% 55.81% 27.44% -11.43%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.4%54.5%11
Feb-0.1%36.4%11
Mar-3.1%27.3%11
Apr2.4%54.5%11
May1.5%63.6%11
Jun0.3%45.5%11
Jul3.2%72.7%11
Aug1.2%60.0%10
Sep1.0%72.7%11
Oct3.4%63.6%11
Nov5.8%81.8%11
Dec-0.2%54.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.14% 56.4% 518
Tuesday 0.07% 50.6% 571
Wednesday 0.11% 52.8% 568
Thursday 0.09% 54.1% 558
Friday -0.02% 53.2% 556

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

Founder-led management: Irwin Gold (Co-Chairman & Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$10.1M
Net Shares Change-980
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SIEGERT PAUL ERIC CO-CHAIRMAN -$8.0M 1 1 sell
GOLD IRWIN CO-CHAIRMAN -$1.4M 1 1 sell
BEISER SCOTT L CO-CHAIRMAN -$941,378.9 1 1 sell
SCHRIESHEIM ROBERT A -$854,300 1 1 sell
ALLEY J LINDSEY Chief Financial Officer +$500,570.4 1 1 buy
CRAIN CHRISTOPHER M GENERAL COUNSEL -$256,895 3 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-05 ALLEY J LINDSEY Chief Financial Officer +$500,570.4 Transaction at $124.52, now +3.6%
2026-05-21 BEISER SCOTT L CO-CHAIRMAN -$941,378.9 Transaction at $150.26, now -14.2%
2026-02-09 SCHRIESHEIM ROBERT A -$854,300 Transaction at $170.86, now -24.5%
2025-08-28 SIEGERT PAUL ERIC CO-CHAIRMAN -$8.0M Transaction at $199.95, now -35.5%
2025-09-17 GOLD IRWIN CO-CHAIRMAN -$1.4M Transaction at $202.75, now -36.4%
2026-04-02 CRAIN CHRISTOPHER M GENERAL COUNSEL -$71,700 Transaction at $143.40, now -10.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Houlihan Lokey Inc (HLI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HLI on Trend Edge →