HKD — AMTD Digital Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HKD Bearish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 36, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction36
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About AMTD Digital Inc.

AMTD Digital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides digital solutions; media and entertainment services; and hotel operations, hospitality, and very important person (VIP) services in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. The company offers cross-market and intelligent digital solutions services for retail and corporate clients; and insurance brokerage services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.54
Market Cap$481M
Float76.6M
Shares Outstanding197.0M
P/E (TTM)8.50
Price/Sales (TTM)3.53
Profit Margin40.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)60.45%
Revenue (TTM)$136M
Earnings Growth (YoY)81.00%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $196M $178M $25.3M $130M
2022 $198M $216M $16.0M $225M
2023 $33.1M $42.0M $23.2M $47.8M
2024 $49.9M $63.9M $43.8M $31.3M
2025 $23.4M $44.4M $18.4M $58.4M
2026 $59.0M $54.7M $38.8M $118M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2024 $14.1M $16.9M
Apr 2025 $25.3M $27.1M
Oct 2025 $24.8M $27.6M
Jan 2026 $34.3M $27.1M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership0.3%
Short Float1.5%
% of All Funds Holding0.19%
Number of Funds Holding16

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.66Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.63Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (2 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.05% -1.05% 0.00% -0.58% -1.52%
1 Day 4.44% 4.44% 50.00% 10.64% -1.75%
1 Week 1.99% 1.99% 50.00% 4.56% -0.58%
2 Weeks 16.65% 16.65% 100.00% 18.71% 14.59%
1 Month 1.44% 1.44% 50.00% 21.58% -18.71%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (10 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.70% 36.9% 187
Tuesday -0.07% 37.9% 206
Wednesday 1.01% 39.7% 204
Thursday 1.32% 39.9% 198
Friday 1.11% 37.0% 200

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 0.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HKD on Trend Edge →