HGBL — Heritage Global Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Heritage Global Inc

Heritage Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset services company with focus on financial and industrial asset transactions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Auction and Liquidation, Refurbishment and Resale, Brokerage, and Specialty Lending. The company offers a suite of market making, acquisitions, refurbishment, dispositions, valuations, and secured lending services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.21
Market Cap$41.7M
Float25.7M
Shares Outstanding34.7M
P/E (Forward)18.02
P/E (TTM)13.33
Price/Sales (TTM)0.83
vs. Analyst Target+174.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.45%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.97%
Revenue (TTM)$50.2M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-33.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.33 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $26.2M $9.7M $10.3M $6.4M
2021 $25.8M $3.1M $11.0M $3.5M
2022 $46.9M $15.5M $10.4M $11.7M
2023 $60.5M $12.5M $21.4M $14.8M
2024 $45.4M $5.2M $14.2M $10.3M
2025 $51.0M $3.6M $13.8M $6.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $14.3M $1.6M
Sep 2025 $11.4M $585,000
Dec 2025 $11.9M $301,000
Mar 2026 $12.7M $717,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.1%
Institutional Ownership39.2%
Short Float0.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.39%
Number of Funds Holding32

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.40Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.42Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.73Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.40 resistance 1.34x 5 months ago
$1.60 resistance 1.79x 6 months ago
$1.90 resistance 1.39x 7 months ago
$2.40 resistance 1.42x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (101 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.51% 0.00% 23.76% 150.00% -55.56%
1 Day 0.59% 0.00% 31.68% 150.00% -35.53%
1 Week -0.67% -3.23% 31.68% 112.50% -59.46%
2 Weeks 1.02% -4.35% 32.67% 337.50% -62.50%
1 Month 7.46% -5.26% 32.00% 1087.50% -72.97%

Next earnings: May 7, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan27.6%60.6%33
Feb19.3%39.4%33
Mar2.4%36.4%33
Apr3.5%41.2%34
May-0.6%42.4%33
Jun16.3%48.5%33
Jul-8.0%36.4%33
Aug9.8%54.5%33
Sep-5.3%27.3%33
Oct-10.1%24.2%33
Nov1.9%33.3%33
Dec-3.0%30.3%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.50% 29.4% 1569
Tuesday 0.35% 27.4% 1714
Wednesday 0.00% 27.7% 1713
Thursday 1.14% 31.3% 1680
Friday 1.05% 30.7% 1673

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 39.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.1%

Founder-led management: Ross Dove (President, CEO & Director), Kirk Dove (President of Industrial Assets Division)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$46,973.72
Net Shares Change-33,606
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$46,973.72 8 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-02 Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$12,172.84 Transaction at $1.63, now -25.8%
2026-05-08 Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$4,966.22 Transaction at $1.33, now -9.0%
2026-04-02 Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$5,040.9 Transaction at $1.35, now -10.4%
2026-03-03 Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$4,854.2 Transaction at $1.30, now -6.9%
2026-02-03 Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$5,115.58 Transaction at $1.37, now -11.7%
2026-01-05 Sklar James Edward EVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$4,592.82 Transaction at $1.23, now -1.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HGBL on Trend Edge →