HAWK — HawkEye 360, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HAWK Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 12, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction12
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About HawkEye 360, Inc.

HawkEye 360, Inc. operates as a space-enabled defense technology company in the United States. The company offers a shareable, battlefield-proven RF intelligence platform and database for warfighters during varied cycles of geopolitical volatility. The company's solutions include customized SIGINT solutions including hardware, algorithms, and software capabilities; monitoring maritime activity in a customer's regional domain; tracking military ra… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.44
Market Cap$1.26B
Float67.4M
Shares Outstanding98.0M
P/E (Forward)42.74
Price/Sales (TTM)7.53
vs. Analyst Target+146.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-12.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)-23.18%
Revenue (TTM)$168M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$30.70 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2024 $67.6M -$29.0M $47.2M N/A
2025 $118M $2.7M $72.4M $20.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $32.2M $1.7M
Dec 2025 $35.8M $972,000
Mar 2026 $49.8M -$9.0M
Jun 2026 $49.8M -$15.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.4%
Institutional Ownership50.8%
Short Float5.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.16%
Number of Funds Holding102

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.06Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (2 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -3.16% -3.16% 0.00% -2.14% -4.17%
1 Day 1.15% 1.15% 50.00% 3.77% -1.46%
1 Week -10.94% -10.94% 0.00% -9.25% -12.62%
2 Weeks -16.18% -16.18% 0.00% -15.13% -17.23%
1 Month -23.17% -23.17% 0.00% -13.02% -33.32%

Next earnings: November 12, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 50.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$1.9M
Net Shares Change33,075,887
% of Float49.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Serafini John Sheldon President and CEO -$1.3M 1 N/A
MONEY ARTHUR L -$809,000 2 2 sell
Turner Michael S. Chief Legal Officer -$430,802.018 1 N/A
Finelli Francis Alphonse +$390,000 1 2 buy
Searle Craig Chih-Meng Chief Financial Officer -$150,313.046 1 N/A
Spoto Mark +N/A 1 1 sell
Insight Holdings Group, LLC +N/A 1 1 sell
DEWALT DAVID G +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-12 5 5 +N/A
2026-09-15 – 2026-09-17 3 3 -$1.4M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-28 Finelli Francis Alphonse +$390,000 Transaction at $26.00, now -52.2%
2026-09-15 MONEY ARTHUR L -$809,000 Transaction at $8.32, now +49.5%
2026-05-12 Spoto Mark +N/A N/A
2026-05-12 MONEY ARTHUR L +N/A N/A
2026-05-12 Insight Holdings Group, LLC +N/A N/A
2026-05-12 DEWALT DAVID G +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HAWK on Trend Edge →