GWRE — Guidewire Software Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GWRE Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 30, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction30
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Guidewire Software Inc

Guidewire Software, Inc. provides a platform for property and casualty (P&C) insurers the United States, Canada, other Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific. It offers Guidewire InsuranceSuite, such as PolicyCenter, ClaimCenter, BillingCenter, PricingCenter, and UnderwritingCente applications. The company also provides Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-based application that offers policy administration, claims management, and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$163.98
Market Cap$12.74B
Float74.3M
Shares Outstanding82.0M
P/E (Forward)34.84
P/E (TTM)87.75
Price/Sales (TTM)8.63
vs. Analyst Target+30.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.16%
Revenue (TTM)$1.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-38.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$213.29 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $743M -$66.5M $390M -$48.6M
2022 $813M -$180M $377M -$177M
2023 $905M -$112M $458M -$103M
2024 $980M -$6.1M $583M $2.2M
2025 $1.20B $69.8M $752M $86.4M
2026 $1.48B $139M $947M $214M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $333M $31.3M
Jan 2026 $359M $60.1M
Apr 2026 $373M $16.5M
Jul 2026 $411M $31.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership105.8%
Short Float5.5%
% of All Funds Holding6.13%
Number of Funds Holding539

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$165.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$147.59Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$184.29Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$145.96Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$151.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$183.97Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$160.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$201.00 resistance 1.09x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (59 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.22% 1.37% 54.24% 21.66% -17.41%
1 Day 1.59% 0.65% 57.63% 20.15% -19.93%
1 Week 0.35% -0.40% 44.07% 26.12% -31.11%
2 Weeks 0.95% 1.34% 52.54% 27.49% -32.07%
1 Month 0.86% 1.74% 55.17% 28.51% -28.46%

Next earnings: September 3, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%57.1%14
Feb2.9%60.0%15
Mar2.0%60.0%15
Apr-0.5%53.3%15
May2.3%66.7%15
Jun3.2%73.3%15
Jul4.4%66.7%15
Aug4.1%60.0%15
Sep-0.4%60.0%15
Oct1.5%64.3%14
Nov2.1%50.0%14
Dec-2.7%42.9%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 51.3% 694
Tuesday 0.02% 48.1% 759
Wednesday 0.19% 53.4% 756
Thursday 0.11% 52.0% 744
Friday 0.13% 54.8% 741

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings79
Net Value-$48.7M
Net Shares Change-264,295
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings79
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rosenbaum Michael George Chief Executive Officer -$10.8M 2 N/A
Mullen John P President -$9.6M 3 2 sell
Cooper Jeffrey Elliott Chief Financial Officer -$5.1M 2 1 sell
King James Winston Chief Admin Officer, Gen Couns -$2.0M 2 1 sell
Peterson David Franklin Chief Accounting Officer -$275,218.779 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-03 – 2025-11-17 5 3 -$1.8M 5 C-suite
2025-12-15 – 2025-12-29 8 5 -$5.0M 8 C-suite
2026-03-13 – 2026-03-24 8 5 -$3.5M 8 C-suite
2026-06-16 – 2026-06-29 8 5 -$2.2M 8 C-suite
2026-08-17 – 2026-08-27 4 3 -$4.3M 4 C-suite
2026-09-17 – 2026-09-30 6 5 -$23.5M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-21 Mullen John P President -$5.7M Transaction at $144.47, now +13.5%
2026-09-21 Rosenbaum Michael George Chief Executive Officer -$10.6M Transaction at $144.50, now +13.5%
2026-09-21 King James Winston Chief Admin Officer, Gen Couns -$1.9M Transaction at $144.52, now +13.5%
2026-09-21 Cooper Jeffrey Elliott Chief Financial Officer -$4.8M Transaction at $143.92, now +13.9%
2026-06-16 Mullen John P President -$509,644.956 Transaction at $118.74, now +38.1%
2026-06-16 Cooper Jeffrey Elliott Chief Financial Officer -$308,019.342 Transaction at $118.74, now +38.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Guidewire Software Inc (GWRE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GWRE on Trend Edge →