GTX — Garrett Motion Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GTX Bullish with a Setup Score of 71, net conviction 46, actionability 111. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score71
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction46
Actionability111 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Garrett Motion Inc

Garrett Motion Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells turbocharging, air and fluid compression, and high-speed electric motor technologies to original equipment manufacturers and independent aftermarket distributors in the mobility and industrial fields. Its solutions include mechanical and electrical products for turbocharging and boosting internal combustion engines, as well as for compressing air and refrigerants for industrial and mobility use… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.30
Market Cap$6.10B
Float185.1M
Shares Outstanding187.2M
P/E (Forward)17.54
P/E (TTM)18.61
Price/Sales (TTM)1.65
vs. Analyst Target+10.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.29%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.11%
Revenue (TTM)$3.69B
Earnings Growth (YoY)63.30%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$35.67 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.03B $80.0M $676M $286M
2021 $3.63B $495M $859M $724M
2022 $3.60B $390M $840M $664M
2023 $3.89B $261M $908M $597M
2024 $3.48B $282M $889M $590M
2025 $3.58B $310M $878M $596M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $913M $87.0M
Sep 2025 $902M $77.0M
Dec 2025 $891M $84.0M
Mar 2026 $985M $95.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership96.7%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding4.61%
Number of Funds Holding379

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$32.50Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.63Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.19Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.73Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$32.00 support 1.13x 0 months ago
$25.60 support 1.12x 1 months ago
$13.70 support 1.57x 8 months ago
$10.50 support 1.34x 11 months ago
$8.40 support 1.99x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (32 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% -0.04% 40.63% 3.09% -3.00%
1 Day 1.96% 0.62% 62.50% 34.43% -6.60%
1 Week 1.85% 1.63% 56.25% 33.11% -10.86%
2 Weeks 1.12% 2.12% 53.13% 31.15% -35.00%
1 Month -1.36% 0.35% 50.00% 83.93% -59.14%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (11 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.7%62.5%8
Feb2.4%75.0%8
Mar-14.4%12.5%8
Apr21.5%75.0%8
May7.7%50.0%8
Jun2.9%37.5%8
Jul-0.9%57.1%7
Aug-11.0%28.6%7
Sep2.7%71.4%7
Oct-0.0%37.5%8
Nov6.9%75.0%8
Dec6.1%75.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.33% 53.0% 368
Tuesday 0.24% 51.0% 404
Wednesday 0.03% 48.9% 401
Thursday -0.20% 43.0% 393
Friday 0.15% 46.2% 392

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings24
Net Value-$16.6M
Net Shares Change-37,756,575
% of Float-20.4%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$307M 4 4 sell
Centerbridge Credit Partners Master, L.P. -$62.1M 1 1 sell
CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. -$17.0M 1 1 sell
Deason Sean SVP & Chief Financial Officer -$3.5M 1 N/A
Mabru Thierry SVP, Integrated Supply Chain -$2.3M 1 N/A
NINIVAGGI DANIEL A -$536,293.724 1 N/A
Rodrigues Mark Albert SVP, GM GBEs Turbo Tech -$355,630.088 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-15 – 2025-08-26 5 3 -$198M
2026-02-26 – 2026-02-27 4 4 -$10.5M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-16 Rodrigues Mark Albert SVP, GM GBEs Turbo Tech -$355,630.088 Transaction at $33.82, now -4.5%
2026-06-08 Deason Sean SVP & Chief Financial Officer -$3.5M Transaction at $31.93, now +1.2%
2026-06-01 Mabru Thierry SVP, Integrated Supply Chain -$2.3M Transaction at $33.00, now -2.1%
2025-11-13 Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$107M Transaction at $17.00, now +90.0%
2025-10-29 Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$97.5M Transaction at $16.25, now +98.8%
2025-08-21 Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$62.1M Transaction at $12.42, now +160.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Garrett Motion Inc (GTX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GTX on Trend Edge →