GTX — Garrett Motion Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GTX Bullish with a Setup Score of 83, net conviction 58, actionability 120. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score83
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction58
Actionability120 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Garrett Motion Inc

Garrett Motion Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells turbocharging, air and fluid compression, and high-speed electric motor technologies to original equipment manufacturers and independent aftermarket distributors in the mobility and industrial fields. Its solutions include mechanical and electrical products for turbocharging and boosting internal combustion engines, as well as for compressing air and refrigerants for industrial and mobility use… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.27
Market Cap$4.92B
Float184.4M
Shares Outstanding186.5M
P/E (Forward)15.27
P/E (TTM)14.92
Price/Sales (TTM)1.31
vs. Analyst Target+41.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.47%
Revenue (TTM)$3.75B
Earnings Growth (YoY)26.20%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$37.17 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.03B $80.0M $676M $286M
2021 $3.63B $495M $859M $724M
2022 $3.60B $390M $840M $664M
2023 $3.89B $261M $908M $597M
2024 $3.48B $282M $889M $590M
2025 $3.58B $310M $878M $596M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $902M $77.0M
Dec 2025 $891M $84.0M
Mar 2026 $985M $95.0M
Jun 2026 $976M $101M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership99.9%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding5.17%
Number of Funds Holding455

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$24.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$24.25Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.85Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.60 support 1.12x 2 months ago
$13.70 support 1.57x 9 months ago
$10.50 support 1.34x 12 months ago
$8.40 support 1.99x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.34% -0.04% 42.42% 7.02% -3.00%
1 Day 2.14% 0.64% 63.64% 34.43% -6.60%
1 Week 1.97% 1.71% 57.58% 33.11% -10.86%
2 Weeks 1.08% 0.74% 51.52% 31.15% -35.00%
1 Month -1.36% 0.35% 50.00% 83.93% -59.14%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.7%62.5%8
Feb2.4%75.0%8
Mar-14.4%12.5%8
Apr21.5%75.0%8
May7.7%50.0%8
Jun2.9%37.5%8
Jul-2.5%50.0%8
Aug-11.0%28.6%7
Sep2.7%71.4%7
Oct-0.0%37.5%8
Nov6.9%75.0%8
Dec6.1%75.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.29% 52.0% 375
Tuesday 0.23% 51.1% 411
Wednesday 0.01% 48.5% 408
Thursday -0.20% 42.8% 400
Friday 0.15% 46.4% 399

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$16.6M
Net Shares Change-16,646,237
% of Float-9.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$245M 3 3 sell
CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P. -$14.8M 2 2 sell
Rabiller Olivier President & CEO -$8.7M 1 N/A
Deason Sean SVP & Chief Financial Officer -$3.5M 1 N/A
Mabru Thierry SVP, Integrated Supply Chain -$2.3M 1 N/A
Rodrigues Mark Albert SVP, GM GBEs Turbo Tech -$560,109.894 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-26 – 2026-02-27 4 4 -$10.5M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-08 Deason Sean SVP & Chief Financial Officer -$3.5M Transaction at $31.93, now -17.7%
2026-06-01 Mabru Thierry SVP, Integrated Supply Chain -$2.3M Transaction at $33.00, now -20.4%
2026-06-16 Rodrigues Mark Albert SVP, GM GBEs Turbo Tech -$355,630.088 Transaction at $33.82, now -22.3%
2025-11-13 Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$107M Transaction at $17.00, now +54.5%
2025-10-29 Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$97.5M Transaction at $16.25, now +61.7%
2025-11-05 Oaktree Capital Group Holdings GP, LLC -$40.7M Transaction at $16.26, now +61.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Garrett Motion Inc (GTX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GTX on Trend Edge →