GSM — Ferroglobe PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GSM Bullish with a Setup Score of 5, net conviction 22, actionability 1. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score5
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction22
Actionability1 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ferroglobe PLC

Ferroglobe PLC produces and sells silicon metal, and silicon and manganese-based alloys. It provides silicone metal that are used in a range of applications, including construction-related products, electronics, personal care items, and health care, as well as by primary and secondary aluminum producers. The company also offers silicomanganese, which is used as a deoxidizing agent in the steel manufacturing process; and ferromanganese that is use… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.01
Market Cap$757M
Float173.0M
Shares Outstanding186.9M
P/E (Forward)29.59
Price/Sales (TTM)0.47
vs. Analyst Target+49.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.04%
Revenue (TTM)$1.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-52.40%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$6.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.14B -$246M $201M -$69.1M
2021 $1.78B -$111M $497M $33.7M
2022 $2.60B $440M $1.23B $725M
2023 $1.65B $82.7M $697M $263M
2024 $1.64B $23.5M $541M $128M
2025 $1.34B -$171M $46.0M -$68.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $312M -$12.8M
Dec 2025 $329M -$81.0M
Mar 2026 $348M -$7.1M
Jun 2026 $379M $60.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership37.0%
Institutional Ownership59.1%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.01%
Number of Funds Holding177

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.24Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.30 support 1.15x 0 months ago
$4.30 resistance 1.24x 1 months ago
$5.00 resistance 1.04x 4 months ago
$5.50 resistance 1.10x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (69 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.25% 0.50% 62.32% 19.16% -45.49%
1 Day -0.76% 0.10% 52.17% 21.35% -62.26%
1 Week -1.31% -1.04% 43.48% 38.50% -54.51%
2 Weeks -1.22% -0.79% 49.28% 37.83% -58.28%
1 Month -2.65% -0.40% 47.06% 46.17% -66.67%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%47.1%17
Feb13.8%70.6%17
Mar-4.1%47.1%17
Apr0.6%52.9%17
May1.6%52.9%17
Jun-3.6%41.2%17
Jul1.7%52.9%17
Aug0.7%47.1%17
Sep2.8%52.9%17
Oct-2.9%52.9%17
Nov1.7%52.9%17
Dec2.7%52.9%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.8% 805
Tuesday 0.13% 48.2% 883
Wednesday 0.13% 48.4% 880
Thursday -0.10% 44.2% 864
Friday 0.19% 50.0% 860

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 59.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 37.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$62,103.33
Net Shares Change51,401
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Garcia Cos Muntanola Beatriz CHIEF FINANCE OFFICER -$162,426.93 1 1 sell
Lopez Madrid Javier Executive Chairman +$100,323.6 1 1 buy
Villar-Mir de Fuentes Silvia +$100,323.6 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-20 Garcia Cos Muntanola Beatriz CHIEF FINANCE OFFICER -$162,426.93 Transaction at $4.46, now -10.2%
2026-03-25 Lopez Madrid Javier Executive Chairman +$100,323.6 Transaction at $3.86, now +3.9%
2026-03-25 Villar-Mir de Fuentes Silvia +$100,323.6 Transaction at $3.86, now +3.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GSM on Trend Edge →