GSM — Ferroglobe PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ferroglobe PLC

Ferroglobe PLC produces and sells silicon metal, and silicon and manganese-based alloys. It provides silicone metal that are used in a range of applications, including construction-related products, electronics, personal care items, and health care, as well as by primary and secondary aluminum producers. The company also offers silicomanganese, which is used as a deoxidizing agent in the steel manufacturing process; and ferromanganese that is use… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.23
Market Cap$768M
Float104.7M
Shares Outstanding186.9M
P/E (Forward)29.59
Price/Sales (TTM)0.56
vs. Analyst Target+41.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-8.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.22%
Revenue (TTM)$1.38B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-52.40%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$6.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.14B -$246M $201M -$69.1M
2021 $1.78B -$111M $497M $33.7M
2022 $2.60B $440M $1.23B $725M
2023 $1.65B $82.7M $697M $263M
2024 $1.64B $23.5M $541M $128M
2025 $1.34B -$171M $46.0M -$114M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $387M -$10.5M
Sep 2025 $312M -$12.8M
Dec 2025 $329M -$81.0M
Mar 2026 $348M -$7.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership36.9%
Institutional Ownership56.1%
Short Float2.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.95%
Number of Funds Holding160

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.54Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.75Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.00 resistance 1.04x 1 months ago
$3.70 support 1.38x 9 months ago
$5.50 resistance 1.10x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (68 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.50% 61.76% 19.16% -45.49%
1 Day -1.09% 0.08% 51.47% 18.87% -62.26%
1 Week -1.77% -1.43% 42.65% 38.50% -54.51%
2 Weeks -1.51% -1.38% 48.53% 37.83% -58.28%
1 Month -2.39% -0.27% 47.76% 46.17% -66.67%

Next earnings: August 8, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%47.1%17
Feb13.8%70.6%17
Mar-4.1%47.1%17
Apr0.6%52.9%17
May2.1%56.3%16
Jun-2.2%43.8%16
Jul1.8%56.3%16
Aug0.7%47.1%17
Sep2.8%52.9%17
Oct-2.9%52.9%17
Nov1.7%52.9%17
Dec2.7%52.9%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 47.0% 792
Tuesday 0.12% 48.0% 870
Wednesday 0.13% 48.7% 867
Thursday -0.08% 44.4% 851
Friday 0.18% 50.1% 849

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 56.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 36.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$100,323.6
Net Shares Change52,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lopez Madrid Javier Executive Chairman +$100,323.6 1 1 buy
Villar-Mir de Fuentes Silvia +$100,323.6 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-25 Lopez Madrid Javier Executive Chairman +$100,323.6 Transaction at $3.86, now +9.6%
2026-03-25 Villar-Mir de Fuentes Silvia +$100,323.6 Transaction at $3.86, now +9.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GSM on Trend Edge →