GPGI — GPGI, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GPGI Bullish with a Setup Score of 26, net conviction 24, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score26
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About GPGI, Inc.

GPGI, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides sustainable injection molding solutions worldwide. The company's CompoSecure business provides metal payment cards, security, and authentication solutions. It offers engineered injection molding equipment and aftermarket tooling and services focuses on developing highly technical precision technologies instrumental in the delivery of food, beverages, medical devices, and other applications incl… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.60
Market Cap$3.59B
Float141.8M
Shares Outstanding289.9M
P/E (Forward)11.05
Price/Sales (TTM)149,776.53
vs. Analyst Target+19.0% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-342212.50%
Revenue (TTM)$24,000
Dividend Rate0.0%
Analyst Target Price$15.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $261M $77.8M $133M $93.9M
2021 $268M $3.2M $145M $105M
2022 $378M $18.7M $220M $167M
2023 $391M $19.2M $209M $155M
2024 $421M -$53.7M $219M -$50.5M
2025 $59.8M -$136M $28.7M -$93.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$175M
Dec 2025 N/A $43.3M
Mar 2026 N/A -$235M
Jun 2026 N/A $50.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership19.7%
Institutional Ownership96.0%
Short Float20.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.24%
Number of Funds Holding197

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.26Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.42Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$15.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.01Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$22.20 resistance 3.63x 6 months ago
$9.70 support 2.76x 24 months ago
$6.80 support 3.89x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.73% 0.54% 65.22% 27.45% -5.74%
1 Day 4.08% 0.88% 60.87% 29.16% -9.03%
1 Week 4.85% 1.36% 56.52% 46.67% -14.69%
2 Weeks 5.91% 0.69% 56.52% 53.66% -14.62%
1 Month 4.06% -0.27% 45.45% 60.45% -16.92%

Next earnings: November 2, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.26% 48.4% 275
Tuesday -0.03% 46.6% 305
Wednesday -0.14% 45.9% 303
Thursday 0.14% 49.8% 295
Friday 0.19% 46.1% 295

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 19.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$1.8M
Net Shares Change130,703
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Knott Thomas R. Principal executive officer and Chief Investment Officer +$1.7M 2 2 buy
THOMPSON JANE J. -$462,217.94 1 1 sell
Schoen Kurt Principal financial officer and principal accounting officer +$101,320 2 2 buy
Mikkilineni Krishna +$100,030.52 1 1 buy
Cote John D. +$99,180 1 1 buy
Loree Rebecca Corbin +$50,514.75 1 1 buy
Moriarty Kevin M +$50,000.402 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-18 – 2026-03-18 4 4 +$439,482.06 2 C-suite
2026-05-14 – 2026-05-28 4 4 +$250,865.672 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 Knott Thomas R. Principal executive officer and Chief Investment Officer +$994,867.5 Transaction at $11.67, now +8.0%
2026-05-15 Schoen Kurt Principal financial officer and principal accounting officer +$50,320 Transaction at $12.58, now +0.2%
2026-05-15 Mikkilineni Krishna +$100,030.52 Transaction at $12.34, now +2.1%
2026-05-28 Moriarty Kevin M +$50,000.402 Transaction at $12.64, now -0.3%
2026-05-14 Loree Rebecca Corbin +$50,514.75 Transaction at $12.87, now -2.1%
2026-03-18 Schoen Kurt Principal financial officer and principal accounting officer +$51,000 Transaction at $17.00, now -25.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GPGI on Trend Edge →