GPC — Genuine Parts Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GPC Bearish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 27, actionability 114. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability114 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Genuine Parts Co

Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. The company operates in three segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group. It distributes automotive replacement parts, accessories, tools, equipment, and related solutions for hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty equipment. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$135.69
Market Cap$18.32B
Float137.5M
Shares Outstanding137.9M
P/E (Forward)17.36
P/E (TTM)531.68
Price/Sales (TTM)0.73
vs. Analyst Target+3.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.56%
Revenue (TTM)$25.07B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-9.80%
Dividend Rate4.3%
Analyst Target Price$140.38 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $16.54B -$29.1M $5.65B $743M
2021 $18.87B $899M $6.63B $1.55B
2022 $22.10B $1.18B $7.74B $1.99B
2023 $23.09B $1.32B $8.29B $2.16B
2024 $23.49B $904M $8.52B $1.68B
2025 $24.30B $65.9M $8.40B $754M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $6.26B $226M
Dec 2025 $6.01B -$609M
Mar 2026 $6.26B $189M
Jun 2026 $6.54B $228M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership98.9%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding12.20%
Number of Funds Holding1,073

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$128.79Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$119.91Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$123.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$138.46Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$120.13Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$123.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$132.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$98.00 support 1.23x 1 months ago
$139.00 resistance 1.26x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.02% 0.00% 45.97% 6.20% -2.39%
1 Day -0.02% -0.16% 45.97% 4.31% -4.14%
1 Week 0.00% -0.01% 49.19% 13.30% -12.72%
2 Weeks 0.22% 0.02% 50.81% 17.51% -13.79%
1 Month 0.19% 0.60% 55.28% 16.57% -49.38%

Next earnings: October 20, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%43.5%46
Feb0.8%52.2%46
Mar0.7%54.3%46
Apr1.2%57.4%47
May1.5%68.1%47
Jun0.3%51.1%47
Jul0.1%48.9%47
Aug0.2%50.0%46
Sep-0.6%41.3%46
Oct0.6%50.0%46
Nov2.7%69.6%46
Dec2.0%63.0%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 48.7% 2212
Tuesday 0.10% 49.5% 2401
Wednesday -0.01% 46.6% 2399
Thursday 0.01% 47.0% 2353
Friday 0.03% 48.4% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-5,725
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Krishna Naveen EVP, CIDO -$732,450.36 1 1 sell
Howe James F. President, Motion -$478,926.19 3 N/A
Galla Christopher T SVP, GC, and Corp. Secretary -$268,295 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-29 Krishna Naveen EVP, CIDO -$732,450.36 Transaction at $138.12, now -1.8%
2026-06-26 Galla Christopher T SVP, GC, and Corp. Secretary -$268,295 Transaction at $115.00, now +18.0%
2026-05-05 Howe James F. President, Motion -$205,787.48 Transaction at $104.54, now +29.8%
2025-12-18 Howe James F. President, Motion -$211,932.8 Transaction at $128.60, now +5.5%
2026-05-06 Howe James F. President, Motion -$61,205.91 Transaction at $103.92, now +30.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Genuine Parts Co (GPC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GPC on Trend Edge →