GOOD — Gladstone Commercial Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GOOD Bearish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 19, actionability 52. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction19
Actionability52 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Gladstone Commercial Corporation

Gladstone Commercial is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning and operating net leased industrial and office properties across the United States. As of March 31, 2026, Gladstone Commercial's real estate portfolio consisted of 151 properties located in 27 states, totaling approximately 17.7 million square feet. Gladstone Commercial Corporation was established on February 14, 2003 and incorporated in Maryland and is based in M… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.01
Market Cap$634M
Float47.8M
Shares Outstanding48.4M
P/E (Forward)59.17
P/E (TTM)51.92
Price/Sales (TTM)3.72
vs. Analyst Target+8.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.54%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.36%
Revenue (TTM)$170M
Earnings Growth (YoY)236.00%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$14.13 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $133M $14.9M $102M $97.3M
2021 $138M $10.9M $105M $97.0M
2022 $149M $10.8M $116M $103M
2023 $148M $5.0M $115M $100M
2024 $149M $24.0M $118M $117M
2025 $161M $19.3M $9.6M $119M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $40.8M $4.1M
Dec 2025 $43.5M $5.4M
Mar 2026 $41.9M $7.0M
Jun 2026 $44.0M $8.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership55.9%
Short Float7.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.29%
Number of Funds Holding201

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.46Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.30 resistance 1.42x 10 months ago
$14.30 resistance 1.23x 12 months ago
$14.90 resistance 1.23x 15 months ago
$16.20 resistance 2.20x 16 months ago
$17.60 resistance 1.08x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (92 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.38% 0.09% 53.26% 9.23% -5.81%
1 Day 0.32% 0.10% 52.17% 11.71% -8.01%
1 Week -0.08% -0.21% 46.74% 11.54% -13.14%
2 Weeks -0.10% -0.05% 48.91% 31.20% -27.32%
1 Month -0.03% 0.67% 57.14% 26.99% -44.80%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%43.5%23
Feb-2.0%47.8%23
Mar0.6%52.2%23
Apr2.9%47.8%23
May0.2%47.8%23
Jun0.5%56.5%23
Jul1.4%60.9%23
Aug-0.6%45.5%22
Sep-2.2%39.1%23
Oct0.8%56.5%23
Nov1.3%60.9%23
Dec-1.1%43.5%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 49.4% 1086
Tuesday 0.03% 50.3% 1190
Wednesday -0.02% 48.1% 1190
Thursday -0.00% 48.2% 1165
Friday 0.12% 50.7% 1161

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 55.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

Founder-led management: David John Gladstone (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$178,251.765
Net Shares Change16,277
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gerson Gary Chief Financial Officer +$97,181.365 4 5 buy
Cooper Arthur S. President +$74,921.4 1 1 buy
Carter Ryan Stuart Executive Vice President +$6,149 4 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-12 Gerson Gary Chief Financial Officer +$87,295 Transaction at $11.05, now +17.7%
2025-11-10 Cooper Arthur S. President +$74,921.4 Transaction at $10.70, now +21.6%
2026-02-26 Gerson Gary Chief Financial Officer +$3,427.875 Transaction at $12.46, now +4.4%
2025-11-14 Gerson Gary Chief Financial Officer +$1,130.99 Transaction at $11.31, now +15.0%
2025-11-07 Gerson Gary Chief Financial Officer +$5,327.5 Transaction at $10.65, now +22.1%
2026-08-03 Carter Ryan Stuart Executive Vice President +$1,258 Transaction at $12.58, now +3.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Gladstone Commercial Corporation (GOOD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GOOD on Trend Edge →