CTO — CTO Realty Growth Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About CTO Realty Growth Inc

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality, retail-based properties located primarily in higher growth markets in the United States. CTO also externally manages and owns a meaningful interest in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., a publicly traded net lease REIT. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.50
Market Cap$692M
Float32.3M
Shares Outstanding33.8M
P/E (Forward)121.95
P/E (TTM)102.40
Price/Sales (TTM)4.47
vs. Analyst Target+12.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.06%
Operating Margin (TTM)25.00%
Revenue (TTM)$155M
Earnings Growth (YoY)1200.10%
Dividend Rate1.5%
Analyst Target Price$23.00 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $56.4M $78.5M $41.2M $24.5M
2021 $70.3M $29.9M $47.8M $55.8M
2022 $82.3M $3.2M $59.5M $46.6M
2023 $109M $5.5M $78.9M $71.7M
2024 $125M -$2.0M $91.3M $75.0M
2025 $150M $10.1M -$8.4M $97.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $37.6M -$23.4M
Sep 2025 $37.8M $3.0M
Dec 2025 $38.3M $28.3M
Mar 2026 $41.2M $6.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.5%
Institutional Ownership64.9%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.20%
Number of Funds Holding181

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.21Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.39Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.56Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (92 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% -0.09% 41.30% 5.03% -3.60%
1 Day 0.06% -0.02% 48.91% 12.61% -6.78%
1 Week -0.43% -0.42% 46.74% 10.75% -27.49%
2 Weeks -0.11% 0.24% 52.17% 13.53% -15.10%
1 Month 0.75% 0.62% 53.85% 36.26% -33.28%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%41.3%46
Feb0.8%43.5%46
Mar3.5%60.9%46
Apr1.5%48.9%47
May0.0%37.0%46
Jun0.7%41.3%46
Jul0.4%52.2%46
Aug1.6%45.7%46
Sep-0.5%39.1%46
Oct-1.7%37.0%46
Nov1.4%54.3%46
Dec1.7%54.3%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 33.5% 2200
Tuesday 0.11% 35.8% 2388
Wednesday 0.00% 34.2% 2386
Thursday 0.00% 33.1% 2340
Friday 0.18% 37.7% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 64.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value+$289,635.49
Net Shares Change128,431
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Albright John P PRESIDENT and CEO +$199,771.04 4 4 buy
Mays Philip SVP, CFO and Treasurer +$33,896.7 2 2 buy
Smith Daniel Earl SVP, GEN COUNSEL and CORP SECRET +$33,501.5 2 2 buy
Vorakoun Lisa SVP and CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER +$12,446.25 1 1 buy
Greathouse Steven Robert SVP and CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER +$10,020 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-26 – 2025-06-26 4 4 +$132,979.74 3 C-suite
2025-09-11 – 2025-09-16 7 5 +$190,535.75 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-11 Mays Philip SVP, CFO and Treasurer +$16,606.7 Transaction at $16.61, now +23.4%
2025-06-26 Mays Philip SVP, CFO and Treasurer +$17,290 Transaction at $17.29, now +18.6%
2025-09-16 Albright John P PRESIDENT and CEO +$32,760 Transaction at $16.38, now +25.2%
2025-09-16 Albright John P PRESIDENT and CEO +$32,760 Transaction at $16.38, now +25.2%
2025-09-12 Vorakoun Lisa SVP and CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER +$12,446.25 Transaction at $16.59, now +23.5%
2025-09-12 Greathouse Steven Robert SVP and CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER +$10,020 Transaction at $16.70, now +22.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CTO Realty Growth Inc (CTO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CTO on Trend Edge →