AHRT — Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AHRT Bearish with a Setup Score of 9, net conviction 22, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score9
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction22
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc.

AH REALTY TRUST INC is a vertically integrated, self-managed real estate investment trust. With over four decades of experience developing, building, acquiring, and managing high-quality retail, office, and multifamily properties located primarily in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern United States. The Company also provides general construction and development services to third-party clients, in addition to developing and building properties to b… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.50
Market Cap$636M
Float73.6M
Shares Outstanding74.6M
P/E (Forward)39.53
Price/Sales (TTM)2.20
Profit Margin-12.60%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.06%
Revenue (TTM)$289M
Dividend Rate0.6%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $384M $29.2M $28.6M $113M
2021 $285M $21.9M -$12.0M $129M
2022 $455M $74.7M $6.7M $210M
2023 $668M $8.3M -$5.5M $161M
2024 $275M $35.6M $6.3M $198M
2025 $285M $5.6M $9.9M $174M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $96.1M $80,000
Dec 2025 -$26.8M $2.4M
Mar 2026 $52.3M -$30.4M
Jun 2026 $52.5M -$21.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership79.5%
Short Float3.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.23%
Number of Funds Holding196

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.53Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.96Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.20 support 1.03x 3 months ago
$7.50 resistance 1.63x 16 months ago
$9.10 resistance 1.88x 17 months ago
$11.00 resistance 1.85x 20 months ago
$12.10 resistance 1.54x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (53 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.10% 0.26% 62.26% 3.75% -7.79%
1 Day 0.04% -0.10% 45.28% 7.69% -6.16%
1 Week 0.61% 0.78% 54.72% 14.44% -15.87%
2 Weeks 0.51% 0.76% 56.60% 17.67% -25.99%
1 Month 0.80% 1.16% 57.69% 19.56% -17.14%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (48 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%38.5%13
Feb-1.0%53.8%13
Mar-4.8%38.5%13
Apr-0.4%46.2%13
May1.0%61.5%13
Jun2.0%64.3%14
Jul1.7%57.1%14
Aug-1.4%57.1%14
Sep-4.3%23.1%13
Oct1.5%53.8%13
Nov4.6%92.3%13
Dec-0.2%53.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 51.4% 629
Tuesday -0.00% 47.4% 690
Wednesday -0.12% 48.2% 685
Thursday 0.04% 50.8% 673
Friday 0.10% 49.9% 671

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change12,800
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wimbush Frederick Blair +$79,663.309 5 5 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-06 Wimbush Frederick Blair +$6,215.583 Transaction at $7.01, now -7.2%
2026-04-07 Wimbush Frederick Blair +$5,747.095 Transaction at $5.40, now +20.4%
2026-03-04 Wimbush Frederick Blair +$61,900 Transaction at $6.19, now +5.0%
2026-01-20 Wimbush Frederick Blair +$2,173.262 Transaction at $6.63, now -1.9%
2025-10-06 Wimbush Frederick Blair +$3,627.37 Transaction at $6.97, now -6.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Armada Hoffler Properties, Inc. (AHRT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AHRT on Trend Edge →