80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 22.94 vs px 31.13)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 17.53 vs px 31.13)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +1.04 · 2.88→3.32
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About Geo Group Inc
The GEO Group, Inc. a diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. It operates through four segments: The U.S. Secure Services segment; The Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment; The Reentry Services segment; and The Interna… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Protection Services
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: July 26, 1994
Headquarters: 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, United States, 33431
Founder-Led: Yes — George Zoley (Founder & Executive Chairman of the Board)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$31.13
Market Cap
$4.07B
Float
112.4M
Shares Outstanding
131.6M
P/E (Forward)
18.98
P/E (TTM)
14.54
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.44
vs. Analyst Target
+25.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
10.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)
13.89%
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.40%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$39.00 (3 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$2.35B
$113M
$579M
$386M
2021
$2.26B
$77.4M
$628M
$457M
2022
$2.38B
$172M
$714M
$527M
2023
$2.41B
$107M
$669M
$482M
2024
$2.42B
$32.0M
$2.42B
$355M
2025
$2.63B
$254M
$663M
$631M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$682M
$174M
Dec 2025
$708M
$31.8M
Mar 2026
$705M
$38.3M
Jun 2026
$732M
$47.5M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
5.2%
Institutional Ownership
94.5%
Short Float
9.4%
% of All Funds Holding
3.32%
Number of Funds Holding
292
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$31.56
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$23.85
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$22.94
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$17.53
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$24.29
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$23.52
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$19.40
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$23.30
support
1.09x
3 months ago
$14.90
support
1.18x
6 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.01%
0.00%
45.08%
6.28%
-7.95%
1 Day
0.01%
0.13%
50.82%
12.00%
-9.20%
1 Week
-0.14%
-1.30%
38.52%
15.52%
-13.92%
2 Weeks
0.67%
-0.26%
45.90%
30.06%
-27.71%
1 Month
1.35%
1.24%
55.37%
45.58%
-40.58%
Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (24 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.0%
56.3%
32
Feb
-0.6%
46.9%
32
Mar
3.1%
56.3%
32
Apr
3.7%
62.5%
32
May
1.0%
43.8%
32
Jun
3.4%
43.8%
32
Jul
-0.3%
50.0%
32
Aug
0.1%
54.5%
33
Sep
0.3%
42.4%
33
Oct
1.0%
56.3%
32
Nov
5.7%
53.1%
32
Dec
1.2%
43.8%
32
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.03%
48.7%
1523
Tuesday
0.03%
46.4%
1663
Wednesday
0.20%
48.1%
1662
Thursday
0.07%
48.7%
1630
Friday
0.13%
47.6%
1623
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 94.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 5.2%
Founder-led management: George Zoley (Founder & Executive Chairman of the Board)
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
6
Net Value
-$911,934.635
Net Shares Change
-178,597
% of Float
-0.2%
C-Suite Filings
3
Clusters Detected
1
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
Albence Matthew
Senior VP, Client Relations
-$687,934.635
2
2 sell
Brack Ronald A.
Executive Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller
-$224,000
1
1 sell
Koren Lindsay L.
-$109,567.5
1
1 sell
KERNAN SCOTT MICHAEL
-$101,086.92
1
N/A
Suchinski Mark
+N/A
1
1 sell
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2026-08-17 – 2026-08-25
3
3
-$650,427.5
2 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-09-15
Albence Matthew
Senior VP, Client Relations
-$371,074.635
Transaction at $31.45, now -1.0%
2026-08-25
Brack Ronald A.
Executive Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller
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