ADT — ADT Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ADT Bearish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 18, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction18
Actionability34 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About ADT Inc

ADT Inc. provides security, interactive, and smart home solutions in the United States. The company offers burglar and life safety alarms, smart security cameras, smart home automation systems, and video surveillance systems to detect intrusion; control access; sense movement, smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, leaks, temperature, and other environmental conditions and hazards; and address personal medical emergencies, such as injuries or unanticipate… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.43
Market Cap$5.38B
Float519.2M
Shares Outstanding675.8M
P/E (Forward)7.86
P/E (TTM)10.24
Price/Sales (TTM)1.04
vs. Analyst Target+10.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.07%
Revenue (TTM)$5.16B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1.70%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$8.23 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.31B -$632M $1.79B $1.94B
2021 $5.31B -$341M $1.72B $2.25B
2022 $6.40B $300M $3.50B $2.45B
2023 $4.65B -$167M $2.38B $2.69B
2024 $4.90B $501M $2.48B $2.80B
2025 $5.13B $596M $2.53B $2.86B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.30B $145M
Dec 2025 $1.28B $145M
Mar 2026 $1.28B $168M
Jun 2026 $1.31B $161M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership110.9%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding5.17%
Number of Funds Holding455

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.15Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.83Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.39Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.52% -0.79% 37.14% 1.53% -10.14%
1 Day -1.80% 0.00% 48.57% 9.16% -13.44%
1 Week -2.96% -3.11% 45.71% 15.11% -25.04%
2 Weeks -3.00% -2.88% 37.14% 22.80% -38.28%
1 Month 0.10% 0.81% 55.88% 48.49% -33.01%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.8%37.5%8
Feb-1.9%55.6%9
Mar-10.3%22.2%9
Apr5.5%55.6%9
May0.6%55.6%9
Jun3.4%77.8%9
Jul6.2%77.8%9
Aug-2.7%37.5%8
Sep0.4%37.5%8
Oct-0.2%50.0%8
Nov6.4%75.0%8
Dec-4.1%37.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 49.1% 407
Tuesday 0.07% 46.7% 445
Wednesday -0.01% 52.2% 441
Thursday -0.03% 47.5% 434
Friday 0.03% 52.5% 432

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value+$276,059.598
Net Shares Change77,155
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Houston Daniel Joseph +$250,411.5 1 1 buy
Likosar Jeffrey Pres Corp Dev & Trans. & CFO +$101,250 1 1 buy
Ahmad Fawad EVP, Chief Oper and Cust. Off. +$50,625 1 1 buy
Khan Omar EVP, Chief Business Officer +$50,079.848 1 1 buy
Scott David A. EVP, Chief People & Admin. Off +$49,056 1 1 buy
Miller Kimberly EVP, CMO & Comm. Officer +$25,048.75 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-18 4 4 +$376,165.098 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-02 Likosar Jeffrey Pres Corp Dev & Trans. & CFO +$101,250 Transaction at $6.75, now +10.1%
2026-05-12 Khan Omar EVP, Chief Business Officer +$50,079.848 Transaction at $6.88, now +8.0%
2026-03-09 Scott David A. EVP, Chief People & Admin. Off +$49,056 Transaction at $6.72, now +10.6%
2026-05-18 Miller Kimberly EVP, CMO & Comm. Officer +$25,048.75 Transaction at $6.91, now +7.5%
2026-05-12 Ahmad Fawad EVP, Chief Oper and Cust. Off. +$50,625 Transaction at $6.75, now +10.1%
2026-05-12 Houston Daniel Joseph +$250,411.5 Transaction at $6.87, now +8.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ADT Inc (ADT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADT on Trend Edge →