ADT — ADT Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About ADT Inc

ADT Inc. provides security, interactive, and smart home solutions in the United States. The company offers burglar and life safety alarms, smart security cameras, smart home automation systems, and video surveillance systems to detect intrusion; control access; sense movement, smoke, fire, carbon monoxide, leaks, temperature, and other environmental conditions and hazards; and address personal medical emergencies, such as injuries or unanticipate… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.83
Market Cap$5.32B
Float580.1M
Shares Outstanding705.8M
P/E (Forward)7.69
P/E (TTM)9.21
Price/Sales (TTM)1.04
vs. Analyst Target+19.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)25.45%
Revenue (TTM)$5.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)26.40%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$8.16 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.31B -$632M $1.79B $1.94B
2021 $5.31B -$341M $1.72B $2.25B
2022 $6.40B $300M $3.50B $2.45B
2023 $4.65B -$167M $2.38B $2.69B
2024 $4.90B $501M $2.48B $2.80B
2025 $5.13B $596M $2.53B $2.95B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.29B $165M
Sep 2025 $1.30B $145M
Dec 2025 $1.28B $145M
Mar 2026 $1.28B $168M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.7%
Institutional Ownership92.9%
Short Float5.2%
% of All Funds Holding5.06%
Number of Funds Holding416

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.94Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.45Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.92Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.60 resistance 1.45x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (34 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.53% -0.78% 38.24% 1.53% -10.14%
1 Day -1.90% -0.16% 47.06% 9.16% -13.44%
1 Week -3.10% -3.52% 44.12% 15.11% -25.04%
2 Weeks -3.08% -3.47% 38.24% 22.80% -38.28%
1 Month 0.46% 1.13% 57.58% 48.49% -33.01%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.8%37.5%8
Feb-1.9%55.6%9
Mar-10.3%22.2%9
Apr5.5%55.6%9
May2.0%62.5%8
Jun4.2%87.5%8
Jul4.8%75.0%8
Aug-2.7%37.5%8
Sep0.4%37.5%8
Oct-0.2%50.0%8
Nov6.4%75.0%8
Dec-4.1%37.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 49.0% 394
Tuesday 0.06% 46.7% 433
Wednesday 0.01% 52.6% 428
Thursday -0.04% 47.3% 421
Friday 0.01% 52.0% 421

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$174,809.598
Net Shares Change-231,937,845
% of Float-40.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Apollo Management Holdings GP, LLC -$1.92B 2 2 sell
Houston Daniel Joseph +$250,411.5 1 1 buy
Ahmad Fawad EVP, Chief Oper and Cust. Off. +$50,625 1 1 buy
Khan Omar EVP, Chief Business Officer +$50,079.848 1 1 buy
Scott David A. EVP, Chief People and Admin. Off +$49,056 1 1 buy
Miller Kimberly EVP, CMO and Comm. Officer +$25,048.75 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-18 4 4 +$376,165.098 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Khan Omar EVP, Chief Business Officer +$50,079.848 Transaction at $6.88, now -0.7%
2026-05-18 Miller Kimberly EVP, CMO and Comm. Officer +$25,048.75 Transaction at $6.91, now -1.2%
2026-05-12 Ahmad Fawad EVP, Chief Oper and Cust. Off. +$50,625 Transaction at $6.75, now +1.2%
2026-05-12 Houston Daniel Joseph +$250,411.5 Transaction at $6.87, now -0.6%
2026-03-09 Scott David A. EVP, Chief People and Admin. Off +$49,056 Transaction at $6.72, now +1.6%
2025-07-30 Apollo Management Holdings GP, LLC -$1.18B Transaction at $8.31, now -17.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ADT Inc (ADT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADT on Trend Edge →